Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Prediction: Como vs Napoli

Verdict: Home win

Best odds: 5/4

Bookmaker: ZetBet

Napoli’s title defence will be officially extinguished should they fail to win on Saturday evening, as the reigning Serie A champions travel to Stadio Sinigaglia to face an ambitious Como side.

With only four matches remaining and a 10‑point gap to leaders Inter Milan, the visitors are resigned to handing over the Scudetto sooner rather than later, while their hosts remain deeply embroiled in the race for a top‑four finish.

Como

Como will take confidence from recent meetings with Napoli, having won last season’s Serie A clash at the Sinigaglia and progressed past the Partenopei on penalties in a Coppa Italia quarter‑final earlier this campaign. That triumph was followed by a two‑legged semi‑final defeat to Inter, shortly after Como were edged out 4–3 in the league by the same opponents—a sequence that culminated in a damaging loss to Sassuolo and raised fears that their momentum had stalled.

Those concerns were eased last weekend, however, as the Lariani secured a vital 2–0 victory over Genoa, snapping a four‑match winless run. Despite that response, Champions League qualification is no longer fully within their control. Juventus have edged three points clear in fourth place, with Roma also pressing hard, leaving Como knowing that any slip‑up could be costly.

Even if they ultimately fall short, Cesc Fabregas has overseen an outstanding campaign. His carefully managed squad—guided by experience gained under Antonio Conte during their shared time at Chelsea—has flourished since the turn of the year. In 2026, only Inter and Napoli have collected more points, while Como are averaging over two goals per match. More impressively still, no team across Europe’s top five leagues has recorded more clean sheets this season.

That balance between attacking flair and defensive solidity makes Como formidable opponents at home, particularly against a Napoli side travelling with fragile confidence.

Team News

In attack, Tasos Douvikas and Nico Paz continue to lead the way, each scoring 12 league goals, a tally bettered only by Capocannoniere frontrunner Lautaro Martínez. Nico Kuhn and Jesus Rodriguez are also pushing for inclusion, though Martin Baturina and Assane Diao remain favourites to complete an exciting front line.

With Mergim Vojvoda and Sergi Roberto having returned to full training, Jayden Addai is the only absentee for the hosts.

Napoli

Napoli responded impressively after suffering their first home league defeat of the season, losing 2–0 to Lazio at Stadio Maradona. That setback ended their lengthy unbeaten run and dealt a significant blow to fading title hopes, but Antonio Conte’s side reacted emphatically in their final April fixture.

Scott McTominay opened the scoring early against Cremonese before Napoli struck three times in a devastating 10‑minute spell spanning either side of half‑time, cruising to a 4–0 victory. That result lifted the champions two points clear of third‑placed AC Milan, all but confirming that second place is now their primary objective behind Inter, who look set to be crowned champions this weekend.

Napoli’s late stumble came at the worst possible moment. After winning five consecutive matches to apply pressure on Inter, their outside title hopes evaporated, leaving Champions League qualification as the key remaining target. Conte will be eager to secure that at the earliest opportunity, though Saturday’s visit to Como presents one of their sternest tests.

Away form is a concern. Including European defeats, Napoli have already lost nine matches on the road this season, their worst return since 2014. That vulnerability was evident in November’s reverse fixture, where they were fortunate to escape with a goalless draw at the Maradona.

Team News

Captain Giovanni Di Lorenzo is expected to return after being sidelined since January, leaving only Romelu Lukaku, David Neres and Antonio Vergara unavailable. Conte is unlikely to alter his victorious lineup, meaning Rasmus Højlund should again lead the line in a 3‑4‑2‑1 system.

Højlund has scored 10 league goals since returning to Italy’s top flight, but McTominay has been just as important. Having scored in three consecutive away league matches, the Scottish midfielder could become the first this century to net in four straight Serie A away games.

Conclusion

Victory for Como would further ignite their Champions League push and simultaneously confirm Inter’s long‑awaited title, while adding another milestone to an already remarkable season. Although Napoli swept aside struggling opponents last time out, their away form remains erratic, and Conte may yet be outmanoeuvred by his former protege Fabregas.

With home confidence, tactical balance and nothing to fear, Como look well placed to claim a statement win at the Sinigaglia and keep their European dream alive as Napoli’s title defence finally reaches its end.

Verdict: Home win

Best odds: 5/4

Bookmaker: ZetBet

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Veselin Trajkovic


Vesko is a football writer that likes to observe the game for what it is, focusing on teams, players and their roles, formations, tactics, rather than stats. He follows the English Premier League closely, Liverpool FC in particular. His articles have been published on seven different football blogs.

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