Prediction: Deportivo Toluca to win 3-1
Best Odds: 8/1
Deportivo Toluca and Los Angeles FC will lock horns with each other in the semi-finals of the 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup this week. The second leg of the tie between the Liga MX club and the Major League Soccer side will be held at Estadio Nemesio Diez in Toluca and is scheduled to kick off at 2:30am UK time on Thursday. LAFC lead 2-1 from the first leg.
Deportivo Toluca
Deportivo Toluca have done well to come this far in the 026 CONCACAF Champions Cup. The Liga MX club may have lost the first leg of the semi-final tie against Los Angeles FC 2-1 at the BMO Stadium in Los Angeles last week, but that is still a good scoreline considering that it was an away game for them.
Toluca manager Antonio Mohamed believes that his side will be able to launch a comeback in the second leg at Estadio Nemesio Diez this week.
Mohamed said: “We know that at home we have a different level of play and speed… I’m not worried, it’s another game, it’s in the past, each match is different, there it will be another different game.
“We knew they would play behind us, they didn’t surprise us because they do that and they do it well, I think they were fair winners, now we have to do our homework at home.”
Team News:
Brazilian forward Paulinho will be a key player for Deportivo Toluca.
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC have a slender lead heading into the second leg of their 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup semi-final tie against Deportivo Toluca. The Major League Soccer club won the first leg 21 at home.
LAFC manager Marc Dos Santos said: “We’re talking about a semifinal. “All four teams in the semifinals are strong.
“Any one of the four can win the Champions Cup. We made it this far on our own merits. We won Leg 1 of the semifinals. We know that this is a game for big-time clubs. We’re here, and we want to be in the final.”
LAFC midfielder Stephen Eustáquio added: “We have to play a perfect game, and that can be both with or without the ball,” “That’s why I’m 100% comfortable with the team that we’ll play tomorrow.”
Team News:
Son Heung-Min will be a key player for Los Angeles FC in the second leg, just as he was in the first, providing the assist for both goals. Denis Bouanga will be back for the Major League Soccer in this game, having missed the first leg of the tie due to suspension.
Key Factors to Consider
- Deportivo Toluca have met American teams 28 times in all competitions, winning 17 of those games.
- Deportivo Toluca have suffered just one defeat at home in the CONCACAF Champions Cup against a team from the MLS.
- Deportivo Toluca have failed to score in just one of their last eight games in all competitions.
- Los Angeles FC have won just one of their last five away games in all competitions
- Los Angeles FC have kept two clean sheets in their last four games in all competitions.
Conclusion
While Los Angeles FC did well to win the first leg, the second leg will be very different. Deportivo Toluca have a very good team and have scored four goals each in their last two home games in the 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup. The Mexican club should register a win by a two-goal margin in the second leg and progress to the final.
Prediction: Deportivo Toluca to win 3-1
Best Odds: 8/1
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