Prediction: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Verdict: Draw

Best odds: 2/1

Bookmaker: ZetBet

After a damaging European defeat, Fiorentina return to Serie A action on Monday evening determined to refocus on their relegation battle as they welcome Lazio to Stadio Franchi.

While another Conference League run looked promising just days ago, the Viola’s priority is now firmly fixed on preserving their top‑flight status with seven matches remaining.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina travelled to London on Thursday night hoping to keep their Conference League quarter‑final finely balanced, as they sought a fourth semi‑final appearance in four seasons. Instead, the Tuscan side endured a chastening evening at Selhurst Park, conceding twice before half‑time on their way to a 3–0 defeat against Crystal Palace. That result leaves elimination from Europe looking highly likely ahead of next week’s return leg.

While continental competition has provided welcome distraction, domestic survival remains the overriding concern. Fiorentina have struggled throughout a turbulent league campaign and still hover just above the relegation zone. Even after steady improvement in recent weeks, Paolo Vanoli’s men remain far from secure.

Encouraging signs have emerged, however. A hard‑fought 1–0 away victory over Hellas Verona last week underlined growing resilience, and since the beginning of February, Fiorentina have won half of their league matches. Defensive stability has improved markedly, with three clean sheets recorded in the last six Serie A games after managing just one across the previous 20.

Before welcoming Crystal Palace again and preparing for a crucial clash with relegation rivals Lecce, Fiorentina must first attempt to overcome Lazio for a third successive time at the Franchi.

Team News

Manor Solomon is expected to return from injury, but Albert Gudmundsson and Nicolò Fagioli are suspended, removing two regular starters.

Niccolò Fortini remains sidelined, while Fabiano Parisi and leading scorer Moise Kean face late fitness tests. Kean has been nursing a persistent shin issue, meaning Roberto Piccoli could once again spearhead the attack.

At full‑back, Robin Gosens—who scored in the reverse fixture and has been involved in seven Serie A goals against Lazio—should line up on the left, with Dodô operating on the opposite flank.

Lazio

Lazio arrive in Florence having struggled in recent head‑to‑head meetings with Fiorentina, losing three of their last four encounters between the sides, with the remaining match ending in a dramatic 2–2 draw earlier this season. That trend continued last time out in Serie A when the Biancocelesti were held by Parma, registering their 11th league draw of the campaign and halting a rare three‑match winning streak.

Maurizio Sarri’s side currently sit ninth in the table, trailing city rivals Roma by 13 points, making European qualification through league position an unlikely prospect. Instead, Lazio’s realistic continental hopes rest on the Coppa Italia, where they face Atalanta in a forthcoming semi‑final second leg after the opening match finished level.

League form under Sarri has been underwhelming. Lazio are averaging just 1.42 points per game this season, the second‑worst return of his Serie A managerial career after his first top‑flight season with Empoli in 2014–15. Away from home, consistency has also been elusive, and the Biancocelesti are again searching for consecutive league wins on the road, something they have not achieved since May.

Late drama has become a recurring theme for Lazio. Including Pedro’s stoppage‑time equaliser against Fiorentina in January, Sarri’s men have scored a league‑high 38% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches this season. Notably, Fiorentina are also among the teams most vulnerable late on, adding intrigue heading into Monday’s clash.

Team News

First‑choice goalkeeper Ivan Provedel and captain Mattia Zaccagni remain sidelined, while Samuel Gigot and Nicolò Rovella are also unavailable.

Patric, Lorenzo Pellegrini and Mario Gila must still undergo further fitness testing.

Daniel Maldini is generally preferred as the central striker, but the Italian forward missed training and remains a doubt, potentially opening the door for alternatives once again.

Conclusion

With their Conference League ambitions hanging by a thread, Fiorentina cannot afford further domestic setbacks and have far more riding on Monday’s contest. However, fatigue from Thursday’s exertions and Lazio’s knack for late goals could prove decisive.

While the Viola may start brightly, the visitors’ experience and habit of striking late may allow them to snatch a result, leaving Fiorentina frustrated and still battling for survival heading into the final stretch of the season.

Verdict: Draw

Best odds: 2/1

Bookmaker: ZetBet