Saturday, May 25, 2019

Prediction: Juventus vs Fiorentina

Verdict: Both teams to score – yes

Best Odds: 11/10

Bookmaker: 888sport

Juventus had a golden chance to win the Serie A title last week, but ended losing 2-1 to Spal while crashing out of the UEFA Champions League midweek. They’ll get another crack at securing the league this Saturday and the scenario couldn’t be better: they’ll play at home against a struggling Fiorentina side. This match will kick-off at 18:00 BST.

Juventus

There’s no question Juventus fully deserve to win the league title since they’ve been the class of the league during the entire campaign, and the numbers back them up. The Old Lady have lost just two matches all season long (W27, D3, L2) and own a 17-point advantage over second-placed Napoli. They also rank as the both home and away side separately. but they’ve undoubtedly been at their best in front of their own crowd. Through 16 home matches during this season. Juventus have 14 wins and two draws with 35 goals scored and only 10 conceded. However, their recent form has been sub-par for their lofty standards since they register W3, L2 in their last five matches. Barring anything odd, Juventus should win here and secure the league. But they were also expected to cruise past Ajax in the Champions League, and we all know how that ended up. The Serie A giants need to be at their best here to complete the task of winning yet another league title.

Team News

Martin Caceres has been ruled out of this game due to a muscular injury.

Three others are questionable. These are Giorgio Chiellini (calf), Mario Mandzukic (knee) and Mattia Perin (shoulder).

Fiorentina

On the other hand, Fiorentina face the best team in the league in their worst stretch of the campaign since they’re currently riding an eight-game winless streak (D5, L3). Due to this run, it makes perfect sense to see Fiorentina around the middle of the standings and with virtually no chance to reach the European competitions of the 2019-20 season. Part of the blame should go straight to their tendency to draw games, as the Viola side has drawn half of their Serie A matches thus far (W8, D16, L8). Their scoring record of 46 goals looks decent, but they’ve allowed over one goal per game thus far (39 conceded), including six in their last five game. To make things even more complicated, they’ve failed to score in each of their last two league outings. It’s safe to say they’d rather face any team BUT Juventus right now. Will they be up to the challenge, or will they crumble against the current league leaders and massive title favourites?

Team News

Fiorentina are almost at full strength for this game. Their lone absentee will be Marko Pjaca, who’s out for the reminder of the season with a knee problem.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fiorentina have lost eight of their last nine competitive matches against Juventus (W1, L8). They’ve also failed to score in their last three, while conceding six goals over that span.
  • Juventus currently own the best attack in the Serie A with 65 goals scored. On the other hand, Fiorentina’s tally of 46 goals scored in the joint-second lowest against Top 10 sides.
  • When it comes to the defence, Juventus clearly excel with the league’s best defensive record (22 conceded).
  • The Old Lady average 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in their previous five H2H matches against Fiorentina.
  • Juventus’ last four matches in all competitions have seen both sides scoring. That has also happened in three of Fiorentina’s last five outings.

Conclusion

Both sides have shown a tendency to see both clubs scoring in recent matches. And that trend will be respected once again in this potentially title-clinching match.

Verdict: Both teams to score – yes

Best Odds: 11/10

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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