Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Prediction: Paris SG vs Saint-Etienne

Juan Pablo Aravena in Free Soccer Predictions 24 Jul 2020


Verdict: Over 3,5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 7/10

Bookmaker: 888sport

PSG and Saint-Etienne will play the Coupe de France final on Friday. Les Parisiens are massive favourites ahead of the matchup, although St. Etienne might have enough weapons to pull the upset if things go their way. This pivotal contest will kick-off Friday at 20:10 GMT.

Paris SG

PSG won the 2019-20 Ligue 1 season with a dominant performance all year long. Les Parisiens were the class of the league once again and posted a W22, D2, L3 record on route to a comfortable trophy. Led by Kylian Mbappe and Neymar, the French outfit is now looking at the Coupe de France final, the League Cup final, and the final stages of the 2019-20 UEFA Champions League. They appear as massive favourites in this contest, and the history should back them up. They have gone 20 straight matches without a loss to St. Etienne, and they are also riding a seven-game winning streak between competitive matches and friendlies before this contest. Undoubtedly, they are clear-cut candidates to win this match.

Team News

Paris SG will be at full strength at this game. They won’t have injured or suspended players.


Saint-Etienne are coming off two massive wins in their previous friendly matches. The Ligue 1 season stopped in early March due to the Coronavirus pandemic, but Les Verts have found a way to plan this Final against the reigning Ligue 1 champions. They defeated Nice by a 4-1 score on July 10th and then secured a 4-1 victory over Charleroi five days later. Sure, neither of those two teams can even compare to the threat PSG will offer. One would believe winning those two games while scoring four times in each contest should represent a massive confidence booster for St. Etienne. However, they arrive into this matchup following two back-to-back losses against Belgian powerhouse Anderlecht. Can they bounce back to pull the upset against a massive favourite such as PSG?

Team News

Kevin Monnet-Paquet (knee) and Zaydou Youssouf (knee) have both been ruled out for this match.

As if that wasn’t enough, Yohan Cabaye (groin) and Stephane Ruffier (hand) have been listed as questionable. Both players have missed St. Etienne’s last two friendly matches before this decisive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Paris SG have been nearly unstoppable in the Coupe de France. They have scored four goals on average in this tournament during the 2019-20 campaign.
  • Les Parisiens won the 2019-20 Ligue 1 title after posting a W22, D2, L3 record.
  • St. Etienne are riding a 20-game winless streak against PSG in all competitions (D5, L15).
  • Three of St. Etienne’s five matches in this tournament have produced exactly three goals.
  • PSG played four friendly matches before this Final, scoring 22 goals and conceding none.


Paris SG have looked unstoppable during the friendly matches, and they have been playing in sync already. Their attack has been scoring goals for fun, and that might not change here against a St. Etienne side that is bound to be without their starting goalkeeper.

With that in mind, this could be an open game with more than 3.5 total goals. Most of them might be scored by PSG, though.

Verdict: Over 3,5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 7/10

Bookmaker: 888sport


Juan Pablo Aravena

A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.



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