Monday, May 18, 2026

Prediction: Roma vs Fiorentina – Betting Tips, Team News, Key Facts

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions, Serie A 3 May 2026

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Verdict: Roma win

Best Odds: 2/3

Bookmaker: Luckster

Desperate to find a route into the Champions League spots, Roma will welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Olimpico on Monday night.

Roma

Starting with the hosts, making an immediate return to winning ways last week as they secured a rugged 2-0 victory away at Bologna, Roma suddenly find themselves sat within touching distance of finding a route back into the Champions League spots. Although the Italian heavyweights might have failed to register consecutive wins across all competitions since the end of January, Gian Piero Gasperini’s men have certainly turned a welcomed corner over the past fortnight. Mustering seven points from their last three Serie A showdowns, Roma have also shown some recent defensive steel. In fact, Monday’s hosts have conceded just a sole domestic strike in almost 300 minutes of action. It should also be highlighted, the ex-Atalanta boss has not seen his squad suffer a single Serie A defeat in front of their own supporters so far this calendar year.

Roma Team News

Shown a costly second-half booking after finding the net against Bologna last week, Morocco international Neil El Aynaoui will serve a one-match suspension here. Sidelined with yet another ankle injury, Brighton loanee Evan Ferguson remains on the sidelines.

Likewise, still recovering from a long-term groin issue, Roma will also be unable to call upon Ukrainian marksman Artem Dovbyk. Making a remarkable immediate impact since completing a January switch from Aston Villa and already notching 11 goals in his first 14 Serie A appearances, Donyell Malen will lead the line here.

Fiorentina

As for the visitors, while Fiorentina might have opened 2026 at the heart of a public Serie A nightmare, the Viola have come roaring back in an eye-catching fashion. Skyrocketing themselves away from an infamous relegation scrap, Paolo Vanoli’s side have gained a reputation for their rugged approach on either side of March’s international break. Despite settling for consecutive stalemates against Sassuolo and Lecce over the past fortnight, Monday’s guests are unbeaten in all of their previous seven consecutive domestic showdowns and they are enjoying by far their brightest spell of the season. Although Fiorentina might have already accepted that they will have to settle for a bottom-half finish among Italy’s elite, the Viola are more than capable of causing some real headaches when they travel to Rome on Monday night.

Fiorentina Team News

Still dealing with a recent calf injury and not seen over the past month, Fiorentina will once again be without Italian international Moise Kean. Likewise, enduring a nightmare start to life in Tuscany, ex-Brighton star Tariq Lamptey remains on the sidelines with another long-term knee injury.

Now in his second campaign at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, former Manchester United goalkeeper David de Gea will start between the sticks. Completing a January loan switch from Leeds United, Jack Harrison should keep his spot in the final third.

Roma vs Fiorentina Key Factors to Consider

    • When Roma and Fiorentina met for their reverse Serie A showdown back on October 5th, the Wolves secured a 2-1 victory in Tuscany.
    • Roma have not suffered a single Serie A defeat in front of their own supporters so far this calendar year.
    • Since completing a January loan switch from Aston Villa, Donyell Malen has notched 11 goals in his first 14 Serie A appearances.
    • Fiorentina are unbeaten in all of their last seven consecutive Serie A appearances (three wins, four draws).
    • Five of the last six meetings between Roma and Fiorentina have finished with both teams finding the net.

    Conclusion

    Landing a 2-1 victory when they travelled to Tuscany for their reverse Serie A showdown back in October, Roma will be dreaming of a repeat outcome here. Mustering seven points from their last three top-flight appearances, Monday’s hosts now sit within touching distance of skyrocketing back into the Champions League spots. Although Roma might have failed to register consecutive victories since back in January, we are backing a home win on Monday night.

    Verdict: Roma win

    Best Odds: 2/3

    Bookmaker: Luckster

    ABOUT THE AUTHOR

    Tom Dunstan


    Formerly of The Independent, Tom has spent the past six years as one of our senior writers and betting experts. Alongside working with numerous publications from across the globe, Tom also graduated from the University of Falmouth in 2014 with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in Digital Media.
    Spending almost the past decade working in countries such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada, he has also spent time featuring in sports radio. Tom can be followed on Instagram - @iamtomdunstan

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