Interest in outright betting tips and predictions seems to spike with every new season. If you already know how outright bets in football work, you may also need some advice on how to properly use them. After all, understanding a betting market is one thing, and profiting from it is another.
That’s what we’re here to do, with a fresh collection of outright bet strategy tips and advice. As a side note, we already have a guide on outright betting strategies. Check that out after reading this article – it contains more info on finding value in this market. This page is dedicated to other bits of useful advice we didn’t cover previously.
Tips for Outright Betting in Football
Before we dive in, make sure you understand the core meaning, strengths, and weaknesses of outright betting. After all, this is not a type of bet that can be used all the time. Your opportunities may vary based on the current season.
With that out of the way, let’s move on to our To Win Outright tips.
1. Consider All Outright Betting Markets
Seeing how you don’t get many opportunities to get right, you might as well properly consider the ones you can make. None of them are easy to get right, true, but you can find surprising betting value if you go off the beaten path.
For instance, a rare market called Next Manager to be Sacked has been showing up on online bookies lately. It’s an interesting proposition if you’re the kind of footy super-fan that keeps up with all the news. After all, teams constantly change managers on the back of strings of poor results. Experienced football bettors can typically notice when something is not working out. Especially if the manager isn’t performing up to par.
2. Look for Value in Underdogs
Backing favourites is usually a good idea in football betting. However, there’s no denying the allure of going for an underdog every now and then. And outright betting predictions might be perfect for that purpose. You can get incredible value if you make an outright bet on an outsider early enough.
Doing so is quite tricky, of course, but there are warning signs that point to an upset in the leaderboards. Keep an eye on transfer windows, pre-season results and friendlies, and noteworthy changes in a team’s lineup or managerial team.
Remember to keep your expectations grounded, though. We’re not likely to see another Leicester in 2015/16 again, after all. Top 6, Top 4, and Top 3 Outright bet markets are more useful for these purposes. Conversely, a surprising relegation can be profitable for a smart punter.
3. Pick Your Timing Carefully
While it’s a great way to get the most value, you don’t have to bet early with this market. Betting too early makes the risk of a certain outright betting prediction huge. Of course, being too indecisive will gut your earnings as well.
Keep up with a team and look at not only their performance but their matchups as well. For instance, if a side happens to have a rough early season, they may have simply been matched with the toughest opponents. You can expect their table position to improve as the season progresses. The odds won’t necessarily drift to take future matchups into account, either.
By keeping up with the chances of a team winning or losing future matches, you can capitalise on all of this information. Early Payout options can be useful for this purpose, so try to find sportsbooks that offer this feature.
4. Play at the Right Online Sportsbook
Look, we know you’re probably tired of hearing how important choosing the best bookie is. However, let us make our case on why top bookies are even more important for outright bets.
Odds for the same bet in the same market can be different when you compare bookies to one another. We know this – it’s what allows us to find value, and it’s how people do arbitrage betting. However, nowhere is this more apparent than with outright bets. The differences we’ve seen between bookies are sometimes staggeringly huge. Outright betting odds on one site can be double or triple what they are on another.
Moreover, outright bets are often just an afterthought for some bookmakers. This can result in huge betting margins. There’s a reason for that as well – it’s because most bookies can get away with it. Many bettors just bet on the team they support, or simply have issues figuring out the true probability of a team winning.
Finding the best bookmakers for outright betting is thus crucial. IF you need some help with that, you can check out our football betting site reviews.
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