Verdict: Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds: 8/11
Two European heavyweights who find themselves seeking a much-needed boost on Monday night, England will welcome Germany to Wembley.
Starting with the hosts, last seen a few days ago putting in another toothless display, England find themselves in the midst of what has quickly become an extended nightmare. Eventually getting hit with a 1-0 loss away at Italy, Gareth Southgate finds a huge amount of pressure on his shoulders. Shockingly suffering a League A relegation, the Three Lions have remarkably failed to win any of their five Nations League matchups during this year’s tournament. In fact, now enduring their longest winless run over the past eight years, England have also gained a reputation for their rather glaring struggles in the final third. Once again drawing a blank at the San Siro on Friday night, Southgate’s struggling squad have failed to find the net in any of their previous three appearances. Likewise, it should also be noted, the Whites have recorded just a single strike from their five Nations League outings this year.
Controversially left out of Southgate’s squad out in Italy a few days ago, Brentford’s Ivan Toney will be hoping to earn his first England cap at Wembley.
All having to settle for a spot on the bench in the Three Lions’ 1-0 loss on Friday night, the likes of Jack Grealish and Trent Alexander-Arnold will be hoping for a recall here.
As for the visitors, while Germany might have entered the international break with an action-packed 5-2 victory at home against Italy, the former world champions have the feel of a side seeking some stability. Last seen putting in a worrying display as they were hit with a shock 1-0 loss at home against Hungary, Hansi Flick’s men will be hoping for an immediate boost here. Although Friday’s defeat in Leipzig might be the first defeat that the Nationalelf have suffered since appointing the one-time Bayern Munich boss, they have struggled with their consistency. Although Germany might have managed to extend on their League A status ahead of their trip to Wembley, the Whites have recorded just a single win from their last six matchups across all formats. Likewise, it should also be noted continuing on from the inaugural Nations League tournament in 2018, Flick’s side have won just one of their six showdowns on foreign soil.
Suffering a shock 1-0 loss at home against Hungary a few days ago, Flick could be tempted to make a string of alterations when they travel to Wembley on Monday night.
All coming off the bench in Leipzig, Serge Gnabry, Kai Havertz, Lukas Nmecha and Jamal Musiala will be hoping for a full recall here.
Key Factors to Consider
- When the two sides last faced off on Nations League duties three months ago, England and Germany played out a 1-1 draw in Munich.
- Each of the last four meetings between Monday’s opponents across all formats have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- England have failed to win any of their five Nations League matchups this year – their longest winless run since 2014 when under Roy Hodgson.
- Likewise, Germany have won just one of their previous six matchups across all formats.
- Monday’s guests have seen each of their previous three contests on foreign soil finish in a 1-1 draw.
Putting in another toothless display on Friday night as they were hit with a costly 1-0 loss away at Italy, England have the feel of a side seeking a much-needed boost. However, already losing their League A status, Southgate’s side have also gained a reputation for their extended problems in the final third. Along with drawing three blanks on the bounce, the Three Lions have also bagged just a single Nations League strike in their five appearances. However, marking their return from the summer break with a shock 1-0 loss at the hands of Hungary, Germany are hoping to find some stability before they make the trip out to Qatar. It should be noted, with Monday’s opponents seeing each of their previous four showdowns across all formats finish with under 2.5 goals, we’re backing a similar outcome at Wembley.
Verdict: Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds: 8/11
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