Saturday, May 25, 2024

How to win Asian Handicap football bets

Stefan Budur in Soccer Betting Strategies 13 Nov 2023


Asian Handicap (AH) betting started in Indonesia and grew in popularity at the beginning of the 21st century. Today, every bookmaker offers a variety of picks on their Asian handicap market. Many bettors see handicap bets as a safer way to make a profit compared to the usual full-time result picks.

To have a better understanding of how Asian Handicap betting works, check this article. With the help of statistics and examples, I will show you how to win Asian Handicap football bets using the most popular picks (-1.5 and -2.5).

How to win -1.5 AH football bets

Backing a team on a -1.5 AH is considered a won bet if the team wins with at least a 2-goal difference. In other words, the team you are backing has to overcome a deficit of 1.5 goals. The easiest way and obvious choice will be to back in-form teams that play against weaker sides. Another strategy is to bet on top teams that score a lot of goals/game.

Let’s illustrate this through a Premier League example.

Aston Villa have had an exceptional start to the season and seems to be challenging for a top 4 finish. On the other hand, the newly promoted Luton are finding life difficult being on the brightest stage in the country.

Ho to win asian handicap football bets

Villa are scoring goals for fun in the Premier League, pulling an impressive average of 3.25 goals scored in the games played at Villa Park. Before welcoming Luton, Unay Emery’s players were undefeated in the last 5 matches (W4D1).

Luton are struggling to keep up with the high-tempo football that is being played in EPL. The team from outside London conceded 11 goals (2.4 average) out of home, before travelling to Birmingham. Coming from a statement win at home against West Ham (4-1), the home team was expected to score a lot of goals against Luton.

Aston Villa dominated the match, being 3-0 up after 62 minutes of game time and only an own-goal scored by Martinez spoiled a perfect win.

How to win -2.5 AH football bets

Placing a -2.5 AH bet is considered a winner if the team you back wins at a minimum of a 3-goal difference.

A good strategy you can use on how to win Asian Handicap football bets (-2.5) is to back top teams. It is well known that every season Manchester City, Bayern Munchen, PSG and other top sides from less popular leagues are dominating domestically defeating their opponents with a big goal difference.

So let’s take a look at an example from the Dutch top tier.

PSV are in 5th gear towards their 25th Champions title. Heracles on the other side were looking to secure their current position and avoid relegation by the end of this season.

The Eredivisie leaders won all of their domestic matches, boosting an incredible average of 3.5 goals scored/game. On the flip side, Heracles’ defence is very fragile conceding at least 2 goals (on average) in every match played. PSV were coming from a 5-2 win at home with Ajax while Heracles were hammered away at Heerenven. It was the perfect scenario for the visitors to dismantle the hosts.

The best Asian Handicap betting strategy

Using betting strategies is the best option you can choose when considering how to win Asian Handicap football bets.

Consider simple tricks like building an Accumulator. Backing top teams from different competitions is one way to go. Another way is to use time to your advantage in the live betting section of the match.

Let’s break down these 2 simple ways that could potentially increase your bankroll.

Asian Handicap Accumulator betting strategy

Building Acca’s and using in-play (live) betting is the best way to win handicap football bets. Your accumulators can be profitable if you don’t add too many picks to your bet and, if you manage efficient your bankroll.

After years of experience as a gambler, I came to the conclusion that the simpler the bet, the better. Use only top teams that are in form scoring a lot of goals and, don’t add more than 4 matches to your Acca.

You can build a 4-fold every weekend backing in-form top teams.

Real Madrid, PSG, Leverkusen and Liverpool are goal-scoring machines, very often winning their games with at least a 2-goal difference. The Ligue 1 champions had a difficult game away at Reims, according to bookies. However, Mbappe was in top form and scored a hat-trick.

These heavyweights of football are averaging high numbers of goals scored, week in and week out.

You can use many other teams from other leagues that have the same pattern of results. PSV, Feyenoord, Rangers, Viktoria Plzen, Sparta Praga, and Ferencvaros are other top teams you can add to your Acca. Back these teams when they play home but also consider their current form.

Asian Handicap Live betting strategy

Live betting is one of the best ways to turn the odds in your favour.

Using time to your advantage, you can get incredible value compared to pre-match betting. When you bet live, it is essential that you make a detailed pre-match analysis that will indicate opportunities and more important, what exactly you decide to back.

Sporting are top of the table in the Portuguese top-flight and are looking to regain their champions crown this season. Being a top team that I follow closely I decided to bet on this match. My pre-match analysis indicated that Sporting would score at least 2 goals in this match.

The Lions dominated the game, as expected, creating many chances and taking the lead just before the half-time whistle.

With 23 minutes left to play, I decided to trust my pre-match analysis and bet on Sporting to win at a minimum of 2 goal difference (the score was 0-1 so the handicap was -0.5 Sporting). I was not letting that value odds (2.30) slip through my fingers.

And before yu know it, Pedro Goncalves scored the 2nd goal of the game much to my delight!

To conclude – a couple of useful tips:

  • Remember to always track your bets using an Excel sheet.
  • Manage your bankroll allowing many consecutive losses without going bust.
  • Gamble responsibly using only the money you can afford to lose!


Stefan Budur

Former owner of Betting Mojo, experienced bettor and former punter at Betadvisor, Stefan has done it all when it comes to soccer betting. With more than 15 years of experience in the gambling industry, he gained a lot of knowledge that he'd like to share with readers so you can position yourself better every time you place a bet.



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