Monday, October 15, 2018

Prediction: AC Milan vs Lazio

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions, Serie A 27 Jan 2018


Verdict: Lazio win

Best Odds: 15/8

Bookmaker: Bet365

The Rossoneri welcome their high-flying opponents to the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza where they will hope to get their 10th league win of the season.

AC Milan

The appointment of Gennaro Gattuso as a replacement for Vincenzo Montella in November was greeted with a widespread unease among many Milan fans and some of the early results, including a humiliating draw against bottom of the league Benevento, suggested that it was not misplaced. Despite being a shadow of the European giants that were once a consistent feature in the Champions League, AC Milan now have their sights set on securing a Europa League spot. After wins against bottom half sides, the Rossoneri find themselves sat in seventh spot and are already 12 points adrift of the top four.

Team News

Ricardo Rodriguez remains suspended for the game following his red card.

The 25-year-old defender sits out of his third-and-final match following a straight sending off in the 2-1 win over Cagliari earlier in the month.


For Simone Inzaghi’s Lazio side, the Aquile have recently embarked on a fine run of form and have continued their bright start to the season. Currently sat third in the Serie A table, Lazio are five points safe off dropping off the top four and still only remain eight points away from league leaders Napoli. Picking up a 3-0 win at home to Udinese in midweek, Inzaghi’s side are now unbeaten in their last eight games in all competitions. With Lazio’s sights firmly set on securing a Champions League spot come the end of the season, the Aquile will know that another dominant attacking display on Sunday evening will get them one step closer to securing European football at the Stadio Olimpico.

Team News

Lazio were without top scorer Ciro Immobile for their last game and it remains unclear how long the hamstring injury will keep the Italy international out for. David Di Gennaro is also unavailable.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Milan have won their last two Serie A games, the last time they reached three successive wins was in March 2017.
  • Lazio have scored at least three goals in five of their last six league games.
  • Simone Inzaghi’s side have lost just one away game in Serie A so far this season (W8 D2), with their sole defeat coming at the Olimpico against Roma.
  • Milan have been shown the most red cards in Serie A so far this season (5- also Verona).
  • Lazio have scored the most goals from set pieces in Serie A so far this season (16).


Although Milan may have managed to pick up some much-needed points in recent weeks to steady the Rossoneri ship, we do expect Gattuso’s side to face a sterner test on Sunday evening. Facing off against a Lazio team who are the top scores out of any side in Serie A, Milan’s form against teams inside the top eight will continue to be a huge concern. The Rossoneri have lost all of their meetings with the top eight, including a 4-1 hammering in the reverse fixture earlier on this year. Backing Lazio to leave the San Siro with three points seems like the best bet here.

Verdict: Lazio win

Best Odds: 15/8

Bookmaker: Bet365


Tom Dunstan

Formerly of The Independent, Tom is a freelance football and boxing journalist from Essex, England. Currently working for three online publications, Tom is a graduate of the University of Falmouth and has spent the last two years writing across Australia, New Zealand and Asia. He can be followed at @IamTomDunstan



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