Thursday, May 23, 2024

Prediction: Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg

Verdict: Total home goals over 2.5

Best odds: 4/5

Bookmaker: Olympusbet

Bayern Munich will host Wolfsburg at the Allianz Arena on Sunday in their last home game of the Bundesliga season.

This match marks Thomas Tuchel’s final fixture in Bavaria before his anticipated departure, following Bayern’s disappointing exit from the Champions League against Real Madrid. Despite the bitter defeat, the outgoing manager aims for a positive result against Wolfsburg, who are vying for European qualification.

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich’s last opportunity for major silverware in the 2023/24 season disappeared on Wednesday night at the Santiago Bernabeu when Carlo Ancelotti’s team, through two goals from Joselu, overturned the game after Alphonso Davies had initially put the deposed German champions in a promising position with his goal.

As a result, the Bavarians find themselves with little at stake in their final two Bundesliga matches, highlighting the decline in performance this season despite the impressive goal-scoring form of Harry Kane.

Although Kane has netted an impressive 36 times in his debut Bundesliga season, it hasn’t translated into overall success for Tuchel’s side, ultimately contributing to the anticipated departure of the Champions League-winning manager.

On Sunday, Bayern hope to return to winning ways and maintain their remarkable record of never losing to Wolfsburg at home. With Wolfsburg failing to secure a victory at Bayern in 26 attempts, the anticipated outcome is for Bayern to extend this streak to 27 on Sunday.

Having amassed 40 home points, second only to Bayer Leverkusen’s 42, Bayern are expected to continue their dominance at home against this particular opponent.

Team News

Serge Gnabry sustained a hamstring injury during Wednesday’s defeat to Real Madrid, ruling him out of Sunday’s match.

Despite criticism aimed at Tuchel for withdrawing Kane from the game at the Bernabeu, the forward is expected to spearhead the home side’s attack, eager to build on his impressive goal tally.

However, Bayern will be without Sacha Boey (muscular), Tarek Buchmann (thigh), Kingsley Coman (groin), Raphael Guerreiro (ankle), and Bouna Sarr (knee) due to injury.

Wolfsburg

Despite their historically poor record away at Bayern, Ralph Hasenhuttl’s men can approach the upcoming match with a sense of relief, having secured their top-flight status for another year with a convincing 3-0 win over relegated Darmstadt last weekend.

This victory marked Wolfsburg’s third consecutive triumph in the Bundesliga, a stark contrast to their previous form where they lost five out of six league matches. The late-season resurgence under the guidance of former Southampton and RB Leipzig boss Hasenhuttl has been notable.

With two away wins in their last three matches away from home, Wolfsburg aim to make it three out of four against a Bayern side they’ve never defeated in Munich, either at the Olympiastadion or the Allianz Arena.

Although the pressure is off Hasenhuttl’s side, their recent upswing has put them in contention for the last European spot, currently held by seventh-placed Freiburg, despite being five places behind Christian Streich’s men.

Only four points separate Wolfsburg (37 points) from seventh place (41), and securing eighth could be sufficient depending on the outcome of the DFB-Pokal final. If Leverkusen triumph, as seems likely enough, it will secure another continental spot for Germany, providing additional motivation for Hasenhuttl’s side, who currently trail Hoffenheim by three points before the penultimate game of the 2023/24 season.

Team News

Aster Vranckx’s availability for gameweek 33 remains uncertain, while Lukas Nmecha (muscular) and Mattias Svanberg (shoulder) have been ruled out.

Maxence Lacroix, a centre-back, has proven to be a goal-scoring threat in recent away victories, finding the net in crucial wins against Werder Bremen and Freiburg, potentially making him dangerous from set pieces.

Although Jonas Wind’s recent two goals have been scored in home games, the centre-forward could look to add to his tally of 11 Bundesliga goals in the upcoming fixture.

Conclusion

Despite the possibility of a European hangover on Sunday, Tuchel’s side is expected to secure maximum points and bounce back from two consecutive defeats in all competitions in a convincing manner, in front of their home fans for the last time this season.

Wolfsburg’s dismal record of 24 losses and two draws in 26 visits to Bayern is not likely to improve this weekend.

Verdict: Total home goals over 2.5

Best odds: 4/5

Bookmaker: Olympusbet

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Veselin Trajkovic


Vesko is a football writer that likes to observe the game for what it is, focusing on teams, players and their roles, formations, tactics, rather than stats. He follows the English Premier League closely, Liverpool FC in particular. His articles have been published on seven different football blogs.

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