Friday, October 30, 2020

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs PSG

Verdict: Borussia Dortmund to score over 1.5 goals

Best Odds: 5/6

Bookmaker: Bet365

In what has all the making for a lively contest on Tuesday night, a free-scoring Borussia Dortmund will welcome PSG to Signal-Iduna-Park.

Borussia Dortmund

Starting with the hosts, while Borussia Dortmund might still be dealing with some worrying inconsistencies at the back, the German outfit made yet another statement over the weekend. Putting four past Eintracht Frankfurt on Saturday and still in the Bundesliga title picture, Lucien Farve’s men have cemented their spot as one of the most exciting teams across Europe. Bouncing back from their back-to-back defeats against Bayer Leverkusen and Werder Bremen, fans around rural Germany have seen their side continue to shine in the final third. Remarkably, the Yellow and Blacks have now bagged at least a trio of goals in their last six appearances since returning from the festive break. Along with England international Jadon Sancho now recording nine goals in his last 11 outings, there is no doubt that Farve will be most excited about Erling Haland’s immediate impact at Signal-Iduna-Park. Already recording nine strikes following his January switch from Red Bull Salzburg, the Danish sensation also has eight Champions League goals to his name in this year’s tournament.

Team News

Dortmund are missing both Marco Reus and Thomas Delaney, with Julian Brandt unlikely to be fit. Erling Haaland should lead the line, supported by Jadon Sancho and Thorgan Hazard.

PSG

As for the visitors, putting in what was a woeful first-half display away at relegation scrappers Amiens in what turned out to be an eight-goal thriller, PSG could find their confidence rocked ahead of Tuesday’s trip to Germany. Eventually having to settle for a 4-4 draw on the road, Thomas Tuchels’ men have begun to show their own cause for concern at the back. Shipping three first-half goals against Amiens on Saturday, the former BVB boss has seen his squad fail to record a clean sheet in their last four appearances on the bounce. However, while fans around the French capital may have seen their side ship at least a pair of goals against the likes of Amiens, Monaco, Dijon, and Rennes this season, PSG do have their own attacking talisman enjoying an extended purple patch. Likely to make his much-needed return on Tuesday, Kylian Mbpappe has notched five Champions League goals this season, including a hat-trick away at Club Brugge back in October.

Team News

Neymar is expected to shake off a rip injury to start alongside Kylian Mbappe and Mauro Icardi

Key Factors to Consider

  • Borussia Dortmund have scored at least three goals in their last six matches on the bounce.
  • Including shipping four against Amiens on Saturday, PSG have failed to record a clean sheet in any of their last four outings.
  • BVB striker Erling Haland has scored nine goals in his six matches since joining Dortmund last month.
  • The Danish striker also has eight Champions League goals already this season, the second-most of any player in this year’s tournament.
  • Four of PSG last five matches have seen over 4.5 goals at full-time.

Conclusion

While Dortmund might be showing their own issues at the back, the German outfit should be looking to gain an early advantage against what is a lackluster PSG defence. With Thomas Tuchel’s men shipping four goals away at Amiens over the weekend, there is no doubt that Erling Haland and co should be relishing Tuesday’s matchup. With BVB now bagging at least a trio of goals in their last six matches on the bounce, coupled with their Danish sensation recording eight Champions League strikes this season, we’re backing another free-scoring night for the midweek hosts.

Verdict: Borussia Dortmund to score over 1.5 goals

Best Odds: 5/6

Bookmaker: Bet365

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tom Dunstan


Formerly of The Independent, Tom is a freelance football and boxing journalist from Essex, England. Currently working for three online publications, Tom is a graduate of the University of Falmouth and has spent the last two years writing across Australia, New Zealand and Asia. He can be followed at @IamTomDunstan

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