Verdict: Holland win
Best Odds: 10/3
The Netherlands are on the verge of a huge Nations League shock as the Dutch need just a point tonight to qualify for next summer’s Finals at the expense of Germany and France.
Starting with the hosts, while few could have believed that Germany’s woeful run at the World Cup could have got any worse, the pressure has only mounted on Joachim Löw and many believe his position is becoming untenable. Although they may have picked up a slight morale boost with a 3-0 win over Russia in last weeks International friendly, the Whites’ UEFA Nations League run has been another huge source of disappointment. Yet to pick up a single win in any of their group matches, Germany have already been relegated and their form in the final third is a huge worry for Löw. Along with picking up just two clean sheets in their last 13 matches across all competitions, the Whites have now managed to score one goal in their three group matches. In fact, no side in any of the League A groups have scored fewer goals than Monday’s hosts.
Low’s woes have continued to deepen with the withdrawal of Sami Khedira through injury from his squad as he looks to back up victory over Russia with a morale-boosting win against the Dutch.
Marco Reus, however, is in line to come back into the starting line-up having been left out for precautionary measures last time round.
Well, although the Dutch have failed to make it to the last two major tournaments, Holland are enjoying quite the revolution under former captain Ronald Koeman. With the former Everton boss joining over the summer, Monday’s visitors now have the opportunity to win League A Group 1 and book their spot in the semi-finals of this years UEFA Nations League. Picking up a very impressive 2-0 win over newly-crowned World champions France last week, the Oranges and have now won their last two league outings. Also grabbing a 3-0 win over Germany in the reverse fixture back in November, the Dutch are averaging two goals per game in the tournament and hold the best-attacking record in the group. Now unbeaten in their last three matches across all competitions, one man to watch for the resurgent visitors will be Lyon forward Memphis Depay. The former Manchester United man found the net against Les Bleus last week and along with now scoring seven in his last nine for club and country, the 24-year-old also has four in his last four while on International duty.
Oranje boss Koeman was left surprised and delighted by his side’s toppling of the world champions and with no fresh injury concerns, is expected to keep faith with the side who won on Friday.
That means Memphis Depay will lead the attack once more, with Quincy Promes in reserve on the bench.
Key Factors to Consider
- Germany have failed to win any of their three UEFA Nations League matches and have already been relegated.
- The former World champions have also managed to score just one goal.
- Holland, however, have now won their last two UEFA Nations League outings, including a 3-0 win over Germany last month.
- Memphis Depay now has four in his last four on International Duty.
- Meeting for the 42nd time on Monday, Germany have the slight advantage over their neighbours with 15 wins to Netherlands’ 11.
While 12 months ago it would have been hard to imagine Holland winning away in Germany, the tables have really turned and Ronald Koeman’s side should be incredibly confident of booking their spot as in the semi-finals. With the hosts failing to win any of their UEFA Nations League matches and already relegated, we are backing the Dutch to mount even more pressure on Joachim Löw.
Verdict: Holland win
Best Odds: 10/3
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