Thursday, April 25, 2024

Prediction: Manchester City vs Chelsea

Verdict: Manchester City win and over 2.5 goals

Best Odds: 21/20

Bookmaker: Bet365

With the chance to reclaim top spot, Manchester City will welcome Chelsea to the Etihad on Sunday afternoon.

Manchester City

Starting with Sunday’s hosts, coming off the back of yet another impressive showing in their 2-0 win away at Goodison Park in midweek, Pep Guardiola’s side can once again end the week at the top of the table. Now on a run of form that has seen them win six of their last seven Premier League outings, it has been their form in Manchester that has played a huge part in their push to dethrone Liverpool. Putting three past Arsenal last week, City have the division’s best home record this season, with 12 wins from 13 games. Now scoring a remarkable 27 goals in their last five matches on home soil, one man to watch for the Sky Blues will be leading goalscorer, Sergio Aguero. Bagging a hat-trick against Arsenal in his last appearance at the Etihad, the Argentinian marksman has 22 goals in his 15 most recent Premier League starts at home, scoring in each of the last six.

Team News

Manchester City are expected to recall Kevin de Bruyne and Raheem Sterling after both were named as substitutes in Wednesday’s win at Everton.

Benjamin Mendy, Vincent Kompany and goalkeeper Claudio Bravo have again been ruled out.

Chelsea

As for the visitors, while Chelsea may have managed to pick up an expected 5-0 win over relegation favourites Huddersfield last weekend, the mood around Stamford Bridge has many worried. Now sat outside of the Champions League positions and in a real battle to secure a top-four finish, the pressure is really starting to mount on Maurizio Sarri. It will be the Blues’ recent performances on the road that will be giving the former Napoli boss the biggest headache. Slumping to a very surprising 4-0 loss away at Bournemouth in their last match away from West London, the former Premier League champions have now lost their last three matches on the road and have remarkably failed to register an away goal in over 300 minuets. If Sunday’s visitors are to pull off a surprise victory this weekend, Chelsea will be looking for January signing Gonzalo Higuain to lead their charge. Scoring a brace last weekend, the 31-year-old has scored 38 goals in 37 league appearances under Sarri.

Team News

Chelsea centre-back Antonio Rudiger is expected to overcome the knee injury that kept him out against Huddersfield.

Callum Hudson-Odoi and Gary Cahill are being monitored due to a fever and minor back injury respectively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • This will be the third meeting this season, and they will also face each other in the League Cup final on 24 February. City won 2-0 in August’s Community Shield, while Chelsea were 2-0 victors in December’s reverse league fixture.
  • City have the division’s best home record this season, with 12 wins from 13 games.
  • They could become the first club to score multiple goals in 15 consecutive top-flight home fixtures since Tottenham had a run of 16 in a row from March to December 1965.
  • Chelsea are winless in six Premier League away fixtures against established top-six rivals, losing each of the last four.
  • The Blues have also now lost their last three away matches.

Conclusion

On paper, Pep Guardiola should see this as the perfect opportunity to once again reclaim top spot. Given City’s lethal form at the Etihad, coupled with Chelsea’s woeful run of form away from West London, we’re backing the defending champions to pick up three points and a convincing victory.

Verdict: Manchester City win and over 2.5 goals 

Best Odds: 21/20

Bookmaker: Bet365

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tom Dunstan


Formerly of The Independent, Tom has spent the past six years as one of our senior writers and betting experts. Alongside working with numerous publications from across the globe, Tom also graduated from the University of Falmouth in 2014 with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in Digital Media.
Spending almost the past decade working in countries such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada, he has also spent time featuring in sports radio. Tom can be followed on Instagram - @iamtomdunstan

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