Prediction: PSG vs Bayern Munich

Verdict: PSG win

Best odds: 6/5

Bookmaker: Olympusbet

A high-stakes showdown between two European powerhouses will unfold at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Saturday, as Paris Saint-Germain take on Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals of the FIFA Club World Cup.

The victor will advance to a blockbuster semifinal on July 9, where they’ll face either five-time winners Real Madrid or fellow Bundesliga giants Borussia Dortmund.

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain sent a powerful message in their last-16 outing, dismantling Lionel Messi’s Inter Miami 4-0 in Atlanta, as Luis Enrique’s side reinforced their status as favourites to lift the Club World Cup.

A dominant first-half display saw rising star Joao Neves net twice, while a Tomas Aviles own goal and a sharp finish from Achraf Hakimi capped off a ruthless spell that left Inter Miami overwhelmed and unable to respond.

Fresh off their historic treble-winning 2024/25 season, PSG have been near-flawless at the tournament so far, winning three of their four matches while conceding just once. They lead all teams in average possession (72%) and total passes completed (2,888), yet still appear to have room to elevate their level of play.

With two more European opponents standing between them and the final, Enrique has urged focus and discipline, warning his squad to prepare in “the best possible conditions” for a quarterfinal against a Bayern Munich side that has had their number in recent years.

PSG have lost their last four meetings with Bayern without scoring a goal, including a narrow 1-0 defeat with ten men in the Champions League group stage last November. That said, they went on to win the competition for the first time in their history—proof of their resilience and growth.

Team News

There was encouraging news for Enrique last weekend, as Ousmane Dembele made his return from a thigh injury with a second-half cameo against Miami. It remains uncertain whether the Ballon d’Or contender—sent off in his last clash with Bayern—will be deemed ready to start.

In the meantime, the attacking trio of Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia could retain their starting spots, while the rest of the XI is expected to remain largely unchanged.

Captain Marquinhos and midfielder Fabian Ruiz were both withdrawn at halftime in the previous match to preserve their fitness, and both are likely to return to the starting lineup for Saturday’s high-stakes showdown.

Bayern Munich

After slipping to a narrow 1-0 defeat against Benfica to close out Group C and finishing second, Bayern Munich bounced back in style with a thrilling 4-2 win over Flamengo in the last 16 in Miami Gardens.

Harry Kane continued his prolific season, scoring either side of half time to bring his tally to 41 goals across all competitions. An early own goal from Erick Pulgar and a thunderous long-range effort from Leon Goretzka ensured Vincent Kompany’s men ended Flamengo’s 11-match unbeaten streak and booked a place in the quarterfinals.

The Bundesliga champions remain in contention to win their third Club World Cup—and their first since 2020—and Kompany has underlined the team’s readiness for the “big stage” against PSG, while stressing the need to recover and manage energy levels amid demanding conditions in the U.S.

Despite the oppressive heat, Bayern have stuck to their trademark high-intensity pressing style. They are the tournament’s joint-top scorers (16 goals, including 10 against Auckland City) and lead the field in high turnovers (56) and pressed sequences (68), while also ranking second in final-third passes (955)—a testament to their relentless tempo and attacking cohesion.

As they prepare to face a resurgent PSG side, Bayern will take heart from their head-to-head record, having won seven of the last nine encounters between the clubs (L2), all in the Champions League. The only time they met outside competitive action, Bayern won 3-1 in the 2018 International Champions Cup in the U.S.

Team News

In terms of personnel, Kompany remains without full-backs Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito, both still recovering from injury. Centre-back Kim Min-jae is nearing a return but is unlikely to feature in Saturday’s match.

Meanwhile, Leroy Sane has officially departed for Galatasaray following his last outing in the previous round, and Thomas Muller is set to leave the club after the tournament, meaning he could make his 756th and final Bayern appearance—likely as a substitute—if they fall short against PSG.

There is optimism around Kingsley Coman’s fitness after he came off with a muscle concern against Flamengo, though he’s expected to resume full training this week. If available, Coman will be in contention to start alongside Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, Jamal Musiala, and Muller in support of Kane, who has netted three times in four Club World Cup appearances so far.

Conclusion

Saturday’s heavyweight clash marks the toughest assignment so far for both sides in this summer’s Club World Cup, and with a semifinal berth on the line, a cautious opening cannot be ruled out.

Still, given the attacking talent on show and both teams’ scoring form throughout the tournament, goals at both ends seem likely.

While Bayern hold the historical edge in this fixture, PSG’s recent momentum and depth suggest they could finally tilt the balance. Luis Enrique’s side edging a high-quality affair and making a real statement with a quarterfinal victory, potentially setting up a blockbuster semifinal with Real Madrid (though Dortmund will certainly have something to say about that as well) seems likely enough.

Verdict: PSG win

Best odds: 6/5

Bookmaker: Olympusbet