Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Prediction: Swansea vs Burnley

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals 

Best Odds: 4/9

Bookmaker: Bet365

Coming off the back of their dominant 8-1 home win against Notts County in their FA Cup reply in midweek, Carlos Carvalhal’s high flying Swansea side are now unbeaten in their last eight appearances.

Swansea

For the revitalized Swans, Carlos Carvalhal’s Swansea side find their confidence at an all-time high. Before Christmas, the South Wales club found themselves tipped as the Premier League’s relegation favorites come May. Although Swansea may have found themselves six points adrift of safety, the arrival of Carvalhal has breathed new life into the Swans. Coming off the back of an empathic 8-1 win against Notts County in their FA Cup replay, Swansea are now unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Swansea also find themselves outside of the relegation zone for the first time in over four months after picking up a 1-1 draw away at Leicester last weekend. Currently sat in 17th position, a win on Saturday afternoon could see Carvalhal’s side jump as high as 13th.

Team News

Carlos Carvalhal will be without both Leroy Fer and Wilfred Bony for the rest of the season and both forward players picked up knee injuries last weekend. The Swans will also be without Renato Sanches, Angel Rangel, Andre Ayew, and Leon Britton. Leicester City loanee Andy King could make his debut for the hosts.

Burnley

As for the visitors on Saturday afternoon, Sean Dyche’s resilient Burnley side have recently found points hard to come by after a bright start to the season. Flirting with the top four before Christmas, the Clarets are now a side without a win in their last 10 attempts. Never the less, Burnley currently sit seventh in the Premier League table and always promise a tough test against any oppositions. Although their last top-flight win may have come back in December, Dyche’s side will be traveling to Wales coming off the back of an impressive 1-1 draw against the runaway league leaders Manchester City last Saturday.

Team News

The visitors have a lengthy injury-list and they will be without the likes of Robbie Brady, Jonathan Walters, Dean Marney, Steven Defour and Chris Wood. James Tarkowski and Phil Bardsley are doubts for the trip to South Wales.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Swansea have only lost once since the arrival of Carlos Carvalhal and are unbeaten in their last eight matches (W4, D4).
  • The Swans have won their last four consecutive home appearances including victories over Liverpool and Arsenal.
  • Despite starting brightly, Burnley have now not won a single match in their last 10 attempts (L5, D5).
  • In the reverse fixture earlier in the season, the Clarets secured a convincing 2-0 win.
  • Four of five PL meetings between these two sides have ended with less than 2.5 goals.

Conclusion

On paper, it has all the makings of a low-scoring encounter. Although Burnley might be without a win in their last 10 matches, the high-flying Swans will not be guareted to carry on their recent fine run of form. With four of their last five Premier League meeting ending with under three goals, it could certianly prove to be a game where a single goal may clinch all three points. Backing under 2.5 goals at the Liberty Stadium on Saturday afternoon seems like a safe bet here.

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals

Best Odds: 4/9

Bookmaker: Bet365

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tom Dunstan


Formerly of The Independent, Tom is a freelance football and boxing journalist from Essex, England. Currently working for three online publications, Tom is a graduate of the University of Falmouth and has spent the last two years writing across Australia, New Zealand and Asia. He can be followed at @IamTomDunstan

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