Tuesday, May 28, 2024

Prediction: Torino vs Juventus

Verdict: Draw

Best odds: 21/10

Bookmaker: Unibet

In their ongoing pursuit of Turin derby supremacy, Juventus will face city rivals Torino on Saturday evening in the Serie A.

With two consecutive victories under their belt, Juventus are eyeing an unprecedented 18th consecutive match without defeat against their local adversaries, a feat that would establish a new milestone in the history of the Derby della Mole.

Torino

Saturday’s hosts were beaten 2-0 in the most recent Derby della Mole, which took place at the Allianz Stadium in October; in Serie A history, there have been some 77 Juventus victories to date in this fixture, compared to just 35 for Torino.

The latter’s 3-2 loss to Empoli last week ended a four-match unbeaten run, and was notable for an unusual absence of defensive discipline. Ivan Juric saw his side throw a point away during stoppage time, as they drew level through Duvan Zapata before surrendering a last-gasp goal to the relegation-threatened Azzurri.

Despite leaving Stadio Castellani empty-handed, Torino still occupy ninth place in the table – just ahead of Fiorentina and Monza – and are on course for a top-half finish next month.

Underpinning their progress, Toro’s tally of 10 clean sheets at home – a joint-high in Serie A this season – has made them particularly tough to beat at Stadio Olimpico Grande.

They will now aim to reach 11 in a single top-flight campaign for the first time in club history, and with only two home losses from 15 league matches so far this term, the Granata may fancy frustrating their bitterest rivals.

Team News

Zapata, who has previously netted six goals in 16 matches against Juventus, increased his Serie A tally for the year to seven by scoring twice against Empoli. Excluding penalties, only Vlahovic has scored more in 2024.

Although Ivan Ilic has resumed full training, Karol Linetty and Samuele Ricci may continue in Toro’s midfield, while Nikola Vlasic and Antonio Sanabria provide support for Zapata in the attacking third.

Koffi Djidji, Perr Schuurs, Gvidas Gineitis, and Pietro Pellegri remain sidelined, but Juric has no new injury concerns to contend with.

Juventus

Having put an end to a worrisome streak of winless matches just days earlier with a victory over Lazio in the Coppa Italia, Juventus welcomed fellow cup semi-finalists Fiorentina last week and clinched a victory in classic Max Allegri fashion.

Despite commanding only a 25% share of possession, Juventus relied on Federico Gatti’s first-half goal, while former Fiorentina striker Dusan Vlahovic saw two goals disallowed by VAR, and their opponents struggled once again in the attacking third.

Under Allegri’s guidance, Juventus have secured victory in 11 Serie A matches with less than 50% possession, a feat unmatched by any other team in Europe’s top five leagues this season, except for Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid.

Though not aesthetically pleasing, the Bianconeri halted a four-match streak without a victory in the top flight, consolidating their hold on third place. They currently sit four points ahead of Bologna but lag behind both Milan clubs following the recent dip in form.

Juventus will carry a two-goal advantage to Rome for the second leg of their Coppa semi-final later this month, offering a chance to salvage some silverware from what has been another challenging season. However, their declining performance in away matches remains a cause for concern.

Without an away victory since late January, Juventus have suffered three defeats in their last four league away games, matching the total from their previous 16 outings. They risk enduring a five-match winless streak away from home for the first time since 2010.

Their upcoming match this weekend won’t require much travel, and they boast an impressive record against Torino, having scored in each of their last 15 league matches away to their city rivals and remaining unbeaten in 17 Turin derbies overall.

Team News

Following his success in steering the team back on course last week, Max Allegri is anticipated to maintain the same starting lineup on Saturday, with only Arkadiusz Milik sidelined due to injury.

As a result, Vlahovic is set to lead the attack alongside Federico Chiesa, while Bremer, Danilo, and Federico Gatti are expected to form the visitors’ defensive trio.

Conclusion

Recent history may be against them, but under Juric, Torino have shown resilience, particularly on their home ground. With Juventus still seeking their rhythm after a downturn in form in February, they might have to settle for a draw in the upcoming Derby della Mole.

Verdict: Draw

Best odds: 21/10

Bookmaker: Unibet

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Veselin Trajkovic


Vesko is a football writer that likes to observe the game for what it is, focusing on teams, players and their roles, formations, tactics, rather than stats. He follows the English Premier League closely, Liverpool FC in particular. His articles have been published on seven different football blogs.

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