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Expertise no help on winning Euro bets: study

SoccerNews in European Championships 12 Jun 2008

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When it comes to betting on football results, it does not matter if you are a football expert or completely ignorant on the sport, a study published Thursday by Geneva's health department indicates.

Over 250 people, including experts, amateurs and those who were completely disinterested in the sport, were asked by researchers to predict the final score for ten European Football Championship matches.

And results indicate that football experts and those who were not interested in the sport displayed the same likelihood of correctly predicting the final results.

“None of the category of participants made better predictions than the other on the matches,” said Geneva's department of economy and health in a statement.

Only 10.9 percent of experts predicted Holland's win over Italy, compared to 11.4 percent of people who are disinterested in the sport.

Meanwhile, the draw between Romania and France was accurately predicted by 14.5 percent of experts and 17.1 percent of disinterested people.

The triumph of Portugal over Turkey was also forecasted by 81.8 percent of experts against 75 percent of those who had no interest in football.

“It is not certain that a person who has good knowledge of football would win more at the bets,” said the Geneva department.

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