Monday, May 16, 2022

Prediction: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions, Serie A 29 Apr 2022


Verdict: AC Milan win

Best Odds: 7/10

Bookmaker: Unibet

Hoping to widen their buffer at the top of the Serie A table, AC Milan will welcome Fiorentina to the San Siro on Sunday afternoon.

AC Milan

Starting with the hosts, watching defending champions Inter Milan suffer a shock 2-1 loss against Bologna in midweek, AC Milan appear in pole position to claim their first Serie A title in over a decade. Opening up this weekend’s fixtures still holding a two-point buffer over the chasing pack, the Rossoneri were also last seen putting in another impressive display. Making an immediate return to winning ways after their Coppa Italia exit earlier in the month, Stefano Pioli’s side claimed a 2-1 victory against Lazio seven days ago. With the mood in their camp at a real high, the Italian leaders will be looking to lay down another marker on Sunday afternoon. Claiming a routine 2-0 victory against Genoa last time out on Serie A duties at the San Siro, Pioli’s men have continued to shine on home soil while on top-flight duties. It should be noted, AC are unbeaten in each of their last six Serie A matchups in front of their own supporters, a run that has seen them record five clean sheets.

Team News

AC Milan will once again be without the duo of Simon Kjaer and Alessandro Florenzi on Sunday afternoon.

However, after making his return from a long-term injury issue, Swedish striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic could lead AC’s charge here.


As for the visitors, while Fiorentina might have gained plenty of praise from across Italy this season, they are in the midst of a worrying rut. Last seen putting in a dreadful display as they were hit with a 4-0 drumming against Udinese on home soil in midweek, the Viola really have the feel of a side seeking a boost. However, along with crashing out of the Coppa Italia at the hands of Juventus earlier in the month, Head Coach Vincenzo Italiano has seen his side lose each of their last three matchups across all formats. With their recent blip highlighted by a shock 2-1 loss away at relegation scrappers Salernitana last weekend, the Purples will know that the face a huge task at the San Siro on Sunday afternoon. Dropping out of the European places and facing a tough end to the 2021/22 campaign, Fiorentina have also shown some extended issues on the road. Including back-to-back losses, Italiano’s squad have won just one of their previous five matchups away from the Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Team News

Undergoing surgery on a knee injury earlier in the month, Gaetano Castrovilli will not feature for the remainder of the season.

Expected to make a string of changes on Sunday afternoon, the likes of Arthur Cabral, Jose Callejon and Brazilian defender Igor will be hoping for a full recall here.

Key Factors to Consider

    • AC Milan are unbeaten in each of their last six Serie A contests at the San Siro.
    • Likewise, Sunday’s hosts have recorded five clean sheets in those six top-flight home fixtures.
    • Including a 4-0 defeat in midweek, Fiorentina have lost each of their last three matchups across all formats.
    • Likewise, the Purples have also managed to win just one of their previous five contests on the road.
    • Four of the last five meetings between AC Milan and Fiorentina have finished with both teams finding the net.


    Putting in another impressive display as they secured a 2-1 victory away at Lazio, AC Milan should be smelling the chance to lay down another marker here. Watching their bitter local rivals slip-up against Bologna earlier in the week, Sunday’s hosts will be looking to cash in on a Fiorentina side in the midst of a real blip. Suffering a woeful 4-0 drumming at home against Udinese a few days ago, the Purples are now in an uphill battle to secure a European return. Losing each of their last three outings across all formats, it should be noted that AC have continued to shine at the San Siro this season. Unbeaten in each of their previous six Serie A contests on home soil, we’re backing a home victory for the league leaders this weekend.

    Verdict: AC Milan win

    Best Odds: 7/10

    Bookmaker: Unibet


    Tom Dunstan

    Formerly of The Independent, Tom is a freelance football and boxing journalist from Essex, England. Currently working for three online publications, Tom is a graduate of the University of Falmouth and has spent the last two years writing across Australia, New Zealand and Asia. He can be followed at @IamTomDunstan



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