Wednesday, May 31, 2023

Prediction: Coventry vs Luton

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals

Best Odds: 3/5

Bookmaker: Dachbet

Two sides who will be looking to punch a stunning Premier League return on Saturday afternoon, Coventry and Luton will meet at Wembley for this season’s Championship play-off final.


Starting with Coventry, while the Sky Blues might have been dealing with some public financial issues over recent times, Mark Robins’ side are in the midst of what has been a real fairytale story. Causing a huge semi-final upset as they clinched a second-leg 1-0 victory away at Middlesbrough, the one-time Barnsley boss finds his squad enjoying a remarkable flurry. Unbeaten in each of their last nine straight meetings against Championship opposition, it should also be highlighted that Coventry have suffered just a single defeat from any of their previous 19 appearances. With that record-breaking romp stemming all the way back to a 1-0 loss at the hands of West Brom on February 3rd, Robins’ men are riding a stellar wave of momentum. It should also be noted, not shipping a single goal in their back-to-back semi-final meetings against Middlesbrough, Coventry have also conceded just one strike in over 300 minutes of action.

Team News

In what is a huge boost for Coventry this weekend, midfield talisman Gustavo Hamer has returned to first-team training and looks set to start at Wembley on Saturday afternoon. However, Robins’ side will be without the duo of Callum O’Hare and Fabio Tavares when they travel to the capital here.

Notching 21 Championship strikes this season and attracting plenty of Premier League interest, attacking talisman Viktor Gyokeres will spearhead Coventry’s charge in north London.


As for Luton, mounting a stunning semi-final comeback against Sunderland last week, Rob Edwards’ side have also embarked on another history-making campaign this year. Eventually grabbing a second-leg 2-0 victory at Kenilworth Road, the Hatters have certainly become one of the Championship’s most feared opponents. Only continuing to shine since they welcomed the former Watford boss to Bedfordshire, Luton easily cruised their way to yet another play-off finish this season. In fact, aside from a first-leg 2-1 defeat when they traveled to the Stadium of Light on May 13th, that is remarkably the only Championship loss that the Whites have suffered from their previous 16 appearances across all competitions. With that rampant run of form stemming all the way back to a 1-0 loss at the hands of Burnley on February 18th, Edwards’ men also find themselves tipped as a standout pick when they arrive at Wembley on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Ahead of their history-making trip to Wembley on Saturday afternoon, Luton have reported a clean bill of health and have no fresh injury concerns to worry about. Ex-Aston Villa midfielder Marvelous Nakamba will join the duo of Jordan Clark and Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu in the heart of Edwards’ midfield.

Despite recording just a single strike in any of his last 11 appearances against Championship opposition, Elijah Adebayo will once again partner former MK Dons striker Carlton Morris in attack.

Key Factors to Consider

    • When the two sides last met for a Championship showdown on February 11th, Coventry and Luton played out a 1-1 draw in the Midlands.
    • The Hatters are unbeaten in each of their last nine straight meetings against Saturday’s opponents – a run that stems back to October 2017.
    • Coventry have lost just one of their previous 19 straight appearances across all competitions.
    • Likewise, Luton have lost just one of their last 16 appearances against Championship opposition.
    • Five of the previous seven meetings between Saturday’s play-off finalists have finished with under 2.5 goals.


    Two sides who have continued on their own respective fairytales this season, it appears that a stunning Premier League return is firmly hanging in the balance. However, with both Coventry and Luton impressing with their defensive steel this year, we could be set for a nervy affair in the capital. With Saturday’s opponents playing out a 1-1 draw when they last met on second-tier duties back on February 11th, chances could come at a premium here. Likewise, along with Coventry shipping just a single goal in over 300 minutes of action, the two sides do have a habit of producing low-scoring outcomes. With five of the last seven meetings between the play-off finalists finishing with under 2.5 goals, we are expecting a similar outcome at Wembley.

    Verdict: Under 2.5 goals

    Best Odds: 3/5

    Bookmaker: Dachbet


    Tom Dunstan

    Formerly of The Independent, Tom has spent the past six years as one of our senior writers and betting experts. Alongside working with numerous publications from across the globe, Tom also graduated from the University of Falmouth in 2014 with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in Digital Media.
    Spending almost the past decade working in countries such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada, he has also spent time featuring in sports radio. Tom can be followed on Instagram - @iamtomdunstan



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