Monday, March 25, 2019

Prediction: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 4/5

Bookmaker: 888sport

Two sides that are looking to sneak their way into Europe next season will collide this Sunday. Fiorentina will host Lazio in a match where the three points are absolutely necessary for both squads. However, both teams have not been at their best in recent weeks, and that makes things hard to predict since both have been underachieving of late.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina have not been at their best in recent weeks. Even though the Viola side remain in 10th place and only a few points behind the European spots, it’s safe to say their current form has not been very good. They’re coming off a 3-1 away loss at Atalanta the last time out, and Fiorentina have only won once in their past five league matches. However, they’ve only lost six times in the current campaign and that is the best reflection of what their season has been thus far since they’ve shown an inability to translate draws into wins. But Fiorentina can be unstoppable when they’re clicking and the numbers back them up. Considering they have scored four goals in each of their last two wins, they have proven to be quite effective when they’re on sync. And while that hasn’t happened often, the fact that Lazio haven’t been at their best in recent weeks could benefit them once it’s all said and done.

Team News

Fiorentina are at full strength here. They don’t have suspended or injured players.

Lazio

Lazio have been a bit disappointing this season. Despite the fact they kept last season’s core, they have struggled to get into European places and have also been eliminated from the UEFA Europa League. In fact, they were riding a four-game winless run in all competitions before securing a huge morale-boosting win over AS Roma (3-0) the last time out. But if we focus entirely on their league play, then we can see Lazio have not been as bad as many people believe they have been. The Rome-based outfit have won three of their last four Serie A matches, and have gone W3, L2 in their last five. Meanwhile, on the road they’ve registered two wins and three losses in their last five matches, but still rank as the seventh-best away side in Serie A with 17 points out of 12 matches. They’ve lacked consistency during most of the season, but they’re trending in the right direction of late. Can they back that up with a huge away win at Florence?

Team News

Lazio won’t have Wallace available, as the Brazilian defender has been ruled out due to a muscle problem.

Plus, both Jordan Lukaku (knee) and Valon Berisha (calf) are doubtful. Both will be game-time decisions for the coaching staff.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio have been playing at a high level in front of their fans, losing just one of their last five matches at Stadio Olimpico.
  • Meanwhile, Fiorentina have looked decent on the road. The Viola side have gone W2, D2, L1 in their last five outings away from home.
  • Fiorentina have registered the highest number of draws in the Serie A this season, with 12.
  • Set to rise? Lazio’s 3-0 win over Roma last week ended a four-game winless run across all competitions.
  • Lazio have gone undefeated in their last four meetings against Fiorentina in all competitions (W3, D1).

Conclusion

Both Fiorentina and Lazio need to get the three points in order to get closer to Europe. We might be in line for an open encounter, then. One that will definitively have over 2.5 goals scored.

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 4/5

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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