Sunday, October 25, 2020

Prediction: Germany vs Switzerland

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions 12 Oct 2020

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Verdict: Germany win and both teams to score

Best Odds: 15/8

Bookmaker: Unibet

Hoping to make it back-to-back Nations League victories on Tuesday night, Germany will welcome a struggling Switzerland to Koln.

Germany

Starting with the hosts, while Germany might have struggled to find their best form since opening 2020, the former world champions would have been extremely relieved to pick up their first three points over the weekend. Opening up this year’s Nations League campaign with back-to-back 1-1 draws against Spain and Switzerland last month, Joachim Löw’s men also threw away the lead in dramatic fashion last week as they settled for a 3-3 draw against Turkey on home soil. However, managing to come past Ukraine on their travels on Saturday night, the Whites picked up a 2-1 win in Kyiv and Löw will undoubtedly have his sights set on trying to improve on Germany’s leaky defence. While a 6-1 romp against Northern Ireland last year might have seen them secure an automatic route to next year’s European Championships, Germany have now failed to record a clean sheet in any of their last five matchups across all competitions, their worst run since that disappointing showing at the 2018 World Cup finals.

Team News

Once again expected to make some changes on Tuesday night, Löw could be looking to recall the Chelsea duo of Kai Havertz and Timo Werner after the pair settled for a place on the bench out in Ukraine.

Elsewhere, also settling for a place on the bench over the weekend, Atalanta’s Robin Gosens could be an option to come in at full-back.

Switzerland

As for the visitors, while Switzerland might have impressed many as they came from behind and grabbed a shock point against Germany last month, the Reds have struggled to find much stability. Only mustering a single shot on target against former world champions Spain over the weekend, they were hit with a 1-0 loss on foreign soil and now find themselves in the midst of a four-match winless run across all formats, losing three of those appearances. Opening up this year’s Nations League with a 2-1 defeat away in Ukraine last month, Head Coach Vladimir Petković will have a growing headache over his side’s recent issues on the road. Including back-to-back losses on their travels, a routine 6-1 win against Gibraltar is their only away victory over any of their last six contests on foreign soil, a run that has seen them drop points against Denmark and Ireland.

Team News

After returning a negative COVID-19 test, Liverpool winger Xherdan Shaqiri could be in line to start on Tuesday night in Koln after coming off the bench over the weekend.

However, Switzerland will be without both Renato Steffen and Breel Embolo who were not selected for this round of fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • When the two sides faced off last month, they played out a 1-1 draw on Nations League duties.
  • Germany have failed to record a clean sheet in any of their last five matchups across all competitions.
  • A 6-1 win against Gibraltar back in November is Switzerland’s only away victory on any of their last six contests on foreign soil.
  • Six of Germany’s last seven home fixtures have finished with over 2.5 goals by the final whistle.
  • Four of Switzerland’s five Nations League matchups on foreign soil have finished with both teams finding the net.

Conclusion

Managing to pick up their first victory of 2020 after hanging onto their 2-1 win away against Ukraine over the weekend, there is no doubt that Germany will be desperate to build off of that result. While the Whites might have had to settle for a point as they made the trip out to Switzerland on Nations League duties last month, the Reds have gained a real reputation for their continued issues on the road. Hit with a 1-0 defeat against Spain on Saturday and now managing to muster just a single away victory in any of their previous six appearances, Joachim Löw’s men will be confident of making it back-to-back wins. While we do expect Switzerland to breach what has been a fragile German defence on Tuesday night, we’re backing a home victory in Koln.

Verdict: Germany win and both teams to score

Best Odds: 15/8

Bookmaker: Unibet

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tom Dunstan


Formerly of The Independent, Tom is a freelance football and boxing journalist from Essex, England. Currently working for three online publications, Tom is a graduate of the University of Falmouth and has spent the last two years writing across Australia, New Zealand and Asia. He can be followed at @IamTomDunstan

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