Sunday, August 9, 2020

Prediction: Inter Milan vs Napoli

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions, Serie A 27 Jul 2020

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Verdict: Inter Milan to score over 1.5 goals 

Best Odds: 20/21

Bookmaker: Unibet

Making their final appearance at the San Siro this summer, Inter Milan will face off against Napoli from behind closed doors on Tuesday night in a battle between two Italian heavyweights.

Inter Milan

Starting with the hosts, while Inter Milan might have already dropped points against the likes of Bologna, Fiorentina and Verona since marking their return to action, I Nerazzurri will be boosted by an eye-catching display over the weekend. Picking up a thumping 3-0 win away at relegation outsiders Genoa on Saturday, Antonio Conte’s side have found a route back to second in the standings. Already securing a Champions League return with time to spare and landing back-to-back clean sheets for the first time this season, the former Chelsea boss will also be excited by Romelu Lukaku’s stunning maiden campaign at the San Siro. Bagging a brace away at Genoa over the weekend and already recording 33 goals across all competitions this season, the Belgium marksman has bagged three Serie A goals in as many appearances. Although the Italian giants might be enjoying a recent purple patch in the final third, Conte has been calling for his side to find some stability on home soil. Including playing out a 0-0 stalemate against Fiorentina last time out at the San Siro, Inter have won just three of their last five matches in Milan, a run highlighted by a worrying 2-1 defeat against Bologna.

Team News

Both still struggling with injury issues, Inter look set to be without both Matias Vecino and Stefano Sensi on Tuesday night.

However, on a more positive note for Antonio Conte’s side, they will be able to call upon Nicolo Barella who is available after serving a one-match suspension.

Napoli

As for the visitors, while Napoli might have managed to pick up a much-needed 2-0 win against Sassuolo over the weekend, the Light Blues will know that they were lucky to have left with maximum points. Watching Saturday’s guests having four goals ruled out via VAR, Gli Azzurri still find themselves sat a single point adrift of breaking into the top-six. Continuing to show some real issues at the back since lifting the Coppa Italia title last month, Gennaro Gattuso’s men have a growing headache over their issues while away from the Stadio San Paolo. Hit with a dramatic late 2-1 defeat away at a struggling Parma in their last appearance on the road, the former AC Milan boss has seen his squad collect just four points over their last four top-flight contests on the road. Although Napoli might find themselves in a real uphill battle to secure another European finish this summer, Tuesday’s guests do hold an eye-catching record against I Nerazzurri. Including picking up a 1-0 win when they traveled to the San Siro on Coppa Italia duties back in February, they have lost just one of their last four meetings against Conte’s men.

Team News

Ahead of their trip to the San Siro on Tuesday night, Napoli have no new injuries or suspensions to deal with in midweek.

After bagging Napoli’s second strike over the weekend, midfielder Allan could be set for a recall at the heart of Gennaro Gattuso’s midfield.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Picking up a 1-0 win the last time they made the trip to the San Siro, Napoli have lost just one of their previous four meetings against Tuesday’s hosts.
  • However, Napoli have managed to collect just four points over their last four Serie A fixtures on the road.
  • Inter Milan have scored over 1.5 goals in five of their last six appearances.
  • Striker Romelu Lukaku has scored three strikes in as many Serie A appearances and has 33 goals for club and country this season.
  • Three of the last four meetings between the two sides have seen both teams find the net by full-time.

Conclusion

While Napoli might have managed to come away with a rare clean sheet over the weekend, Sassuolo did have four goals cruelly ruled out by VAR and the Light Blues have continued to show some worrying issues at the back, particularly on their travels. Hit with a shock 2-1 defeat away at Bologna last week and collecting just four points over their last four contests on the road, Inter Milan and Romelu Lukaku should be looking to make a statement in their final contest at the San Siro this summer. Bagging at least a pair of strikes in five of their last six outings and with their leading marksman scoring three in his last three, we’re backing Tuesday’s hosts to once again bag over 1.5 strikes on home soil in midweek.

Verdict: Inter Milan to score over 1.5 goals 

Best Odds: 20/21

Bookmaker: Unibet

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tom Dunstan


Formerly of The Independent, Tom is a freelance football and boxing journalist from Essex, England. Currently working for three online publications, Tom is a graduate of the University of Falmouth and has spent the last two years writing across Australia, New Zealand and Asia. He can be followed at @IamTomDunstan

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