Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Prediction: Lazio vs Inter Milan

Veselin Trajkovic in Free Soccer Predictions 12 May 2026

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Verdict: Away win

Best odds: 9/13

Bookmaker: BetUS

With the Coppa Italia trophy on the line, Lazio and newly crowned Serie A champions Inter Milan meet at a packed Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday night to decide this year’s winner.

Only days after Inter claimed victory in what was essentially a formality in league competition, the two sides reconvene in Rome with silverware at stake.

Lazio

Despite their home advantage, Lazio approach the final as underdogs, even with a strong tradition in this competition. The Biancocelesti are aiming to lift the Coppa Italia for the eighth time, having navigated an especially demanding path to reach the showpiece match.

Maurizio Sarri’s side began by eliminating AC Milan in the last 16, before edging past both Bologna and Atalanta on penalties in successive rounds. That resilience in knockout football has kept their season alive, particularly after an underwhelming league campaign that has left them unable to qualify for Europe through Serie A.

With just two league matches remaining and sitting seven points behind seventh‑placed Atalanta, Lazio’s only remaining route into continental competition lies in lifting the cup. While there has been unrest both on and off the pitch, performances have improved since the turn of the year, with only one defeat in 10 matches prior to their recent loss to Inter.

However, their record against the Nerazzurri is concerning. Lazio have not beaten Inter in any competition since August 2022, going nine matches without success against Wednesday’s opponents. That streak highlights the scale of the challenge they face in the capital.

Team News

Creatively and offensively, Lazio have struggled for consistency. Gustav Isaksen leads the team’s scoring charts with just five league goals, closely followed by Pedro, who notably scored twice against Inter at this time last year in a result that significantly affected the title race. Both players are competing for starting roles alongside captain Mattia Zaccagni, who is expected to return after missing last week’s game due to a knock, while Tijjani Noslin and Matteo Cancellieri are also in contention.

Up front, Sarri has yet to settle on a consistent replacement for Taty Castellanos, who departed in January. Noslin, Daniel Maldini, Boulaye Dia or Petar Ratkov could all feature in the striker’s role. While there are some concerns regarding the fitness of Cancellieri, Patric and Danilo Cataldi, only goalkeepers Ivan Provedel and Alessio Furlanetto are definitively unavailable.

Defender Alessio Romagnoli, who scored in the semi‑final against Atalanta, will be free to play despite his recent red card, as his suspension applies only to league competition.

Inter Milan

Inter Milan arrive in Rome already crowned champions of Italy after sealing the Scudetto with three games to spare. Their recent 3–0 victory over Lazio in what served as a dress rehearsal for this final reaffirmed their position as the dominant force in Italian football.

Although that match featured several changes and was played in front of a sparse crowd due to a boycott, Wednesday’s encounter will bring a far more intense atmosphere, with significant silverware at stake. Inter now have the opportunity to complete a rare domestic double and claim their 10th Coppa Italia title.

Head coach Cristian Chivu could achieve something truly historic in his first season in charge. Having been part of José Mourinho’s treble‑winning squad in 2010, Chivu now has the chance to lead Inter to a domestic double for the first time since that unforgettable campaign.

Inter’s path to the final included victories over Venezia and Torino, before a dramatic 3–2 aggregate win against Como in the semi‑final. Their attacking form has been particularly impressive, with the team scoring at least twice in each of their last seven matches. Their last defeat came more than two months ago in the Derby della Madonnina, highlighting their consistency.

The Nerazzurri’s dominance against Lazio in Rome has also been striking. They have won their last three meetings at the Olimpico by a combined margin of 11–0, underlining their superiority in this fixture.

Team News

Inter are close to full strength, with Hakan Çalhanoglu the only player ruled out due to a thigh injury. Pio Esposito has returned to training following a minor back issue but is likely to start on the bench, as Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram spearhead the attack.

Martinez, who opened the scoring in the recent league meeting, currently leads the Capocannoniere race by four goals, while Thuram has been in exceptional form, scoring six times in as many Serie A matches.

Conclusion

While Lazio have demonstrated resilience throughout their cup run and possess enough quality to trouble most opponents on their day, Inter’s depth, consistency and attacking firepower give them a significant edge.

Sarri’s side have struggled to produce consistent results at home, and their recent record against the Nerazzurri is particularly concerning. With momentum and confidence firmly in their favour, Inter look well positioned to prevail in the capital and secure a historic domestic double by adding the Coppa Italia to their Serie A crown.

Verdict: Away win

Best odds: 9/13

Bookmaker: BetUS

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Veselin Trajkovic


Vesko is a football writer that likes to observe the game for what it is, focusing on teams, players and their roles, formations, tactics, rather than stats. He follows the English Premier League closely, Liverpool FC in particular. His articles have been published on seven different football blogs.

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