Wednesday, January 27, 2021

Prediction: Napoli vs Roma

Tom Dunstan in Free Soccer Predictions, Serie A 29 Nov 2020


Verdict: Roma double chance

Best Odds: 4/6

Bookmaker: Unibet

Looking to extend on what has been a real purple patch of late, a high-flying Roma will make the trip out to Napoli on Sunday night.


Starting with the hosts, managing to pick up a 2-0 win against Croatian outfit Rijeka while on Europa League duties earlier in the week, Napoli will be desperate to build off of that result. Although on paper it might show that the Blues have managed to claim the win in three of their last four matchups across all formats, it doesn’t quite tell the whole story for Gennaro Gattuso’s men. Opening this weekend’s fixtures with just their goal difference keeping them inside the top-six, Napoli were last seen on Serie A duties putting in a worrying display on home soil. Welcoming league leaders AC Milan to Naples last week, Gli Azzurri were hit with a 3-1 drumming and they are a side who are still searching for some much-needed stability at the Stadio San Paolo. Including that defeat against I Rossoneri last week, Napoli have been hit with back-to-back Serie A defeats on home soil, a run that also saw them suffer a shock 2-0 loss against Sassuolo.

Team News

Picking up a red card against AC Milan last week, Napoli will be without Chelsea loanee Tiemoue Bakayoko this weekend.

Suffering with a shoulder injury, Sunday’s hosts look likely to also be without Victor Osimhen.


As for the visitors, also managing to pick up their own 2-0 victory while on European duties in midweek, the mood in Roma’s camp should be at a real high as we inch closer to December. Putting on a professional display away at CFR Cluj on Thursday night, Paulo Fonseca’s men open this weekend’s fixtures sat just three points adrift of top spot and in the midst of a glittering purple patch across all formats. Not tasting defeat since back on September 19th, an 11-match unbeaten run, I Giallorossi have also won each of their last five straight appearances on the spin and will be looking to cause another upset on their travels this week. Continuing to build off of what was an eye-catching end to the extended 2019/2020 campaign, Roma have largely impressed with their displays at both ends of the pitch. Along with now managing to bag themselves at least a pair of strikes in each of their last five consecutive victories, it’s also worth noting that Sunday’s guests have conceded just a single goal in over 550 minutes of action.

Team News

Roma look set to welcome back both defenders Federico Fazio and Davide Santon this weekend after the duo finished self-isolating.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Napoli have lost back-to-back Serie A matchups on home soil.
  • Roma have won each of their last five straight matchups across all formats, recording over 1.5 goals in each of those victories.
  • Sunday’s guests have also conceded just a single goal in over 550 minutes of action.
  • Each of the last five straight meetings between Napoli and Roma have finished with both teams finding the net.
  • Napoli have managed to record just a single clean sheet in any of their last six Serie A appearances.


While Napoli might have managed to pick up a European victory in midweek, it doesn’t cover what has been a domestic blip for Sunday’s hosts. Last seen in Italy’s top-tier getting hit with a 3-1 drumming at the hands of AC Milan on home soil, Roma will be looking to upset the odds and continue on what has been a real purple patch. Embarking on a five-match winning run across all formats and really impressing at both ends of the pitch, the mood in Paulo Fonseca’s should be at a red-hot high. With the Blues suffering back-to-back Serie A defeats on home soil, don’t be surprised to see Roma leave with something to show for their troubles this weekend.

Verdict: Roma double chance

Best Odds: 4/6

Bookmaker: Unibet


Tom Dunstan

Formerly of The Independent, Tom is a freelance football and boxing journalist from Essex, England. Currently working for three online publications, Tom is a graduate of the University of Falmouth and has spent the last two years writing across Australia, New Zealand and Asia. He can be followed at @IamTomDunstan



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