Thursday, July 2, 2020

Prediction: Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg

Verdict: Wolfsburg win

Best Odds: 1/1

Bookmaker: Bet365

Looking to make a return to winning ways this weekend, away day specialists Wolfsburg will make the trip to the Weserstadion on Sunday afternoon.

Werder Bremen

Starting with the hosts, while Werder Bremen might have shocked many across the Bundesliga with a stunning return from the enforced break, the former European giants came crashing back down to earth in midweek. Eventually hit with what was a 3-0 drumming against Eintracht Frankfurt on Wednesday night, Florian Kohfeldt’s men saw their three-match unbeaten run come to an abrupt end at the Weserstadion. Opening the weekend still sat three-point adrift of safety and in a real battle to extend on their 52-year Bundesliga status, Kohfeldt has seen be vocal about his side’s continued issues on home soil. Although Bremen might be searching for a morale boost this weekend, Sunday’s hosts should take plenty of positives from their most recent meetings against Die Wölfe. Including picking up a dramatic 3-2 win when the two sides faced off earlier in the season, Bremen are remarkably unbeaten against Wolfsburg since 2015, a run that has also seen them win four of their last five against the Europa League outfit.

Team News

Bremen have confirmed that they will once again be without the trio of Kevin Möhwald (knee), Claudio Pizarro (thigh), and Nuri Sahin (hip).

Sunday’s hosts also face late fitness checks on both Niclas Füllkrug (match fitness) and Ömer Toprak (calf).

Wolfsburg

As for the visitors, hit with a shock 2-1 defeat against a struggling Eintracht Frankfurt on home soil last weekend, Wolfsburg are a side simply looking for some stability. Still making the trip to the Weserstadion with their goal difference keeping them in that lucrative sixth-spot, there is no doubt that Head Coach Oliver Glasner will be excited by his side’s continued performances on the road. Including putting in what was a season-best display and shocking many across the Bundesliga and picking up a thumping 4-1 win away at Champions League hopefuls Bayer Leverkusen last month, Wolfsburg have landed back-to-back victories away from the Volkswagen Arena and have collected a stunning 13 points over their previous five appearances on the road. Although they might have continued to shine in the final third of late, there will be concerns over Wout Weghorst recent baron run. Wolfsburg’s leading marksman has now managed to bag just a single strike in his last nine matches across all competitions.

Team News

Along with being unable to call upon Renato Steffen who will be serving a suspension this weekend, Wolfsburg will also be without Brazilian William and Paulo Otavio due to respective ankle and knee injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Including a 3-2 win earlier in the season, Werder Bremen have won four of their last five matches against Wolfsburg and are unbeaten against Die Wölfe since 2015.
  • Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last five Bundesliga matches on the road, collecting 13 points on that run.
  • Werder Bremen have lost eight of their last nine Bundesliga matches at the Weserstadion and have not recorded a home victory since September 1st.
  • Sunday’s hosts have also remarkably managed to score just a single Bundesliga goal in their last seven home fixtures.
  • Each of Wolfsburg’s last six away fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals at full-time.

Conclusion

While Werder Bremen might hold a stellar record against Sunday’s guests, it is hard to look past what has been a disastrous run of form on home soil. Including a thumping 3-0 defeat against Eintracht Frankfurt in midweek, the relegation scrappers have lost eight of their last nine Bundesliga matches at the Weserstadion and have continued to show some glaring issues in the final third. With Wolfsburg continuing to shine on the road and picking up what was a stunning 4-1 victory against top-four contenders Bayer Leverkusen last month, we’re backing the away day specialists to make a return to winning ways this weekend.

Verdict: Wolfsburg win

Best Odds: 1/1

Bookmaker: Bet365

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tom Dunstan


Formerly of The Independent, Tom is a freelance football and boxing journalist from Essex, England. Currently working for three online publications, Tom is a graduate of the University of Falmouth and has spent the last two years writing across Australia, New Zealand and Asia. He can be followed at @IamTomDunstan

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