Thursday, April 16, 2026

Bitesize Prediction: Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets – 17/04/26

Tom Dunstan in Betting Promotions 16 Apr 2026

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Competition: A-League

Market: Nishan Velupillay over 0.5 shots on target

Odds: 2/5 @ 1xBet

In what looks set to be a season-defining showdown from AAMI Park on Friday morning, A-League leaders Newcastle will travel to Melbourne Victory.

Starting with the hosts, although Melbourne might have only registered a single point from either of their two A-League showdowns since returning from March’s international break, the Victory are sat firmly in the driving seat to punch another play-off ticket over the next week. Despite throwing away the lead twice last time out as they eventually had to settle for a pulsating 2-2 stalemate away at Auckland, Arthur Diles’ men will take plenty of positives away from an impressive performance on their travels. Heading into March’s fortnight interval with a sensational 4-1 romp against Central Coast, Melbourne will be confident of upsetting the party and making another public statement ahead of their play-off adventure. Including another remarkable 4-1 victory against Macarthur last month, Friday’s hosts have suffered just a single defeat from any of their previous nine consecutive A-League showdowns – a purple patch that stems back to February 1st. Likewise, Diles’ free-scoring squad have also registered 10 goals in just their last four outings.

As for the visitors, shattering a string of records this season, Newcastle have already cemented their spot as Australia’s ultimate surprise packages this season. However, despite remarkably leading the chase at the top of the A-League standings and holding a three-point buffer ahead of their penultimate showdown here, the Jets are desperately searching for some stability. Eventually forced to settle for a 1-1 stalemate at home against Adelaide, Mark Milligan’s men have now mustered just a single win from their previous four A-League appearances and they are showing some signs of crumbling under the pressure. Marking their respective return from March’s international break with an action-packed 3-2 defeat at the hands of Macarthur, Friday’s guests have also shown some worrying defensive issues. Including a 2-1 loss at home against Auckland last month, Newcastle have failed to register a sole clean sheet since the end of February. It should also be noted, Milligan’s side have mustered just one-point from their last three trips to AAMI Park.

Bet: Nishan Velupillay over 0.5 shots on target against Newcastle Jets 2/5 for Friday’s A-League showdown @ 1xBet

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tom Dunstan


Formerly of The Independent, Tom has spent the past six years as one of our senior writers and betting experts. Alongside working with numerous publications from across the globe, Tom also graduated from the University of Falmouth in 2014 with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in Digital Media.
Spending almost the past decade working in countries such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada, he has also spent time featuring in sports radio. Tom can be followed on Instagram - @iamtomdunstan

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