Tuesday, October 22, 2019

Prediction: AC Milan vs Inter Milan

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 8/11

Bookmaker: 888sport

It’s Derby della Madonnina time! One of the biggest derbies in the Serie A will take his place this Saturday, when Inter Milan and AC Milan collide in a thrilling encounter this Saturday. Both sides share the same venue but this time, AC Milan will be at home so the “home” tag will be Stadio San Siro. This massive derby between two Serie A giants will take place on Satuday at 19:45 hrs BST.

AC Milan

AC Milan have looked uninspiring throughout their first three games of the 2019-20 Serie A season. They began their year with a 1-0 away defeat at Udinese, but they won their next two games with the same scoreline against Brescia and Verona. Despite the back-to-back wins, it seems that Milan are a work in progress and manager Marco Giampaolo still doesn’t know how to best utilise some of his players. There’s no question the team has a lot of talent especially on the creative side of things with players such as Suso, Hakan Calhanoglu and Lucas Paquetá, just to name a few. But Milan simply haven’t been able to translate all that talent onto the pitch on a regular basis. Could it be that the players will take ahead of the Derby? It seems unlikely, but Milan should be motivated regardless of their struggles. They can move to the top of the standings if they secure the three points here.

Team News

Mattia Caldara remains injured and has already been ruled out. Davide Calabria has also been out, but due to a suspension.

Inter Milan

Meanwhile, Inter Milan currently hold the top spot in the Serie A standings as they are the lone side to win their first three league matches thus far. They have done it in a convincing way as well. They began the 2019-20 campaign with a 4-0 win over Lecce, and later dispatched both Cagliari (2-1 away) and Udinese (1-0) playing better than what the scorelines suggested. However, Inter are coming off a disappointing 1-1 draw at home against Slavia Praha in the UEFA Champions League earlier this week. Antonio Conte’s men didn’t have a good performance against the Czech champions, and they will need to deliver a better effort this time around. Can they bounce back right on time to extend their current supremacy in the all-time H2H record against Milan? Or will they struggle for the second time in less than a week?

Team News

Inter Milan do not have injuries ahead of this match. However, Antonio Conte could attempt to modify the squad a bit.

Lautaro Martinez and Alexis Sanchez will contest for a starting role upfront. Plus, Marcelo Brozovic, Nicolo Barella, Stefano Sensi and Matias Vecino are reportedly vying for two starting spots in central midfield.

Key Factors to Consider

  • These two sides have 223 times in competitive matches. Inter Milan have the edge (W80, D67, L76).
  • Inter also have the edge on the all-time scoring charts, netting 303 times against Milan’s 299.
  • AC Milan have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Inter Milan hold the edge on the recent H2H record, losing just once in the last six meetings between both sides (W3, D2, L1). In fact, Inter won both contests against their fierce city rivals last season.
  • AC Milan could move towards the top of the standings if they defeat Inter ahead of this match.
  • Dating back to last season, both sides have won each of their last four Serie A matches.

Conclusion

Each of Milan’s matches this season have ended 1-0 either way, and there has been under 2.5 goals in five of Milan’s last six games.

Expect that tendency to continue ahead of this outing.

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 8/11

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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