Thursday, December 5, 2019

Prediction: AC Milan vs Napoli

Verdict: Under 2,5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 49/50

Bookmaker: 888sport

AC Milan and Napoli have both been struggling in recent weeks, and it’s not a secret that both clubs are underperforming so far in the 2019/20 Serie A season. Looking for a bounce-back performance this Saturday, these two Serie A giants will meet at San Siro knowing a win could get them closer to the European qualification zone. Kick-off for this match has been scheduled at 17:00 GMT.

AC Milan

AC Milan are nothing more than a shadow of what they used to be in the past. The Rossoneri side are coming off a 1-0 loss against Juventus the last time out, and this was their second straight loss as they had also lost to Lazio before. They are on a two-game losing streak and they have also won just once in their last five league matches (W1, D1, L3). This negative run of results has a direct consequence – this has been the Rossoneri’s worst start to a top-flight campaign since 1941/42 (W4, D1, L7). Another issue for them has been the lack of firepower upfront. Despite having names such as Suso and Krzysztof Piątek leading the way, Milan have only scored 11 goals in 12 league matches – that leads to an average of 0.92 goals per game so far.

Team News

Ismael Bennacer and Hakan Calhanoglu have both been suspended for this match due to yellow card accumulation.

Samu Castillejo and Mateo Musacchio are both questionable for this tie. Both are dealing with muscular problems.

Napoli

It’s safe to say Napoli are not riding their best run of form at the moment. The Partenopei side have struggled badly this season and, even though they were serious title contenders at the beginning of the season, they only sit in seventh place of the Serie A standings after 12 games with 19 points thanks to a W5, D4, L3 record. Furthermore, Napoli are currently riding a four-game winless streak in league play (D3, L1) and are coming off a 0-0 scoreless draw at home against Genoa the last time out. Winning here would push Napoli to sixth place in the Serie A standings tied with AS Roma, but staying there would depend on what happens in other matches. Either way, they have not played as expected. Can they turn things around here in one of the most historical venues in the Serie A?

Team News

French right-back Kevin Malcuit has been ruled out for the remainder of the season due to an ACL injury.

Arkadiusz Milik (knee) and Faouzi Ghoulam (thigh) are both questionable. Both players should be game-time decisions for this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AC Milan have lost three of their last four Serie A matches, including each of the last two.
  • Milan own one of the weakest attacking lines in Serie A this season. Only five teams have scored fewer goals than Milan’s 11 in 12 matches.
  • The visitors do not enter this game on their best run of form. Carlo Ancelotti’s men have won just two of their last nine competitive matches (W2, D6, L1).
  • Napoli have also struggled on the road, where they are currently riding a three-game winless streak (D2, L1).
  • Furthermore, Napoli have not scored in the last three matches away at AC Milan in San Siro.

Conclusion

Three of the last four H2H matches have produced two or fewer goals, while two of those ended 0-0. Plus, Napoli have not scored in their last three visits to San Siro.

All signs point towards this game ended as a low-scoring affair once again.

Verdict: Under 2,5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 49/50

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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