Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Prediction: AS Monaco vs PSG

Juan Pablo Aravena in Free Soccer Predictions, Ligue 1 25 Nov 2017


Verdict: PSG to score over 3,5 goals – yes

Best Odds: 13/4

Bookmaker: 888sport

The two top teams in the Ligue 1 this season will collide at Stade Louis II this season. AS Monaco will host Paris SG in what is going to be a deciding match on the Ligue 1 title race. The game will start at 20:00 BST this Sunday, and Francois Letexier will be the referee.

AS Monaco

AS Monaco have not been able to live up to the expectations during the current season. Even though they sit in second place of the Ligue 1 standings with 29 points, they remain sit points behind PSG and also were eliminated in the UEFA Champions League after a disappointing 1-4 defeat against RB Leipzig earlier this week. With nine wins, two draws and two losses they seem like one of the few teams capable of posing a challenge against PSG, but their recent results against Les Parisiens have not been good since they are currently riding a three-game losing streak against Unai Emery’s men. Radamel Falcao has enjoyed a great start to the season since he has already scored 13 goals, but the Colombian can’t do everything on his own. Monaco will have to be excellent at the back if they want to get something out of this game.

Team News

AS Monaco won’t have one of their best players on defence, as Djibril Sidibe has been ruled out due to injury.

There are other three players that will require late-fitness tests to determine their availability. These are Stevan Jovetic (thigh), Thomas Lemar (shoulder), and Loic Badiashile (arm).


PSG have surpassed even the most optimistic pre-season expectations with their play in recent weeks. Even though Les Parisiens were widely expected to run away with the Ligue 1 title as soon as they acquired Neymar and Kylian Mbappe, they have also looked extremely dominant in the UEFA Champions League. They are coming off a huge 7-1 win over Celtic earlier this week, and they sit at the top of the standings on both the domestic and the European level. PSG are yet to lose a game in the Ligue 1 this season, registering 11 wins and two draws in 13 matches. And as if that wasn’t enough, they also lead the league in goals scored (43 goals), rank second in goals conceded (eight), and feature two of the top scorers in the competitions in Edinson Cavani (15 goals) and Neymar (seven goals, five assists). They are clicking in all cylinders at the moment, and right now it seems no team can stop them. Will they demonstrate that against Monaco this Sunday?

Team News

PSG will be almost at full strength this season. The lone confirmed absentee is Thiago Motta, as the holding midfielder will miss out on this match due to injury.

Lucas Moura will be a game-time decision due to injury. But recent reports have indicated he should be in contention for a squad spot.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSG and Monaco sit at the top of the standings in the Ligue 1 this season. However, Unai Emery’s men have a six-point advantage over the reigning league holders.
  • PSG have scored at least two goals in 13 of his last 15 away matches. They are registering 3,5 goals per game in the Ligue 1.
  • Monaco might have struggled to score against RB Leipzig, but they have been dominant at home in the Ligue 1 of late. They register 15 wins in their last 16 home matches at the domestic level.
  • PSG are riding a three-game winning streak against Monaco across all competitions. They have scored over 3,5 goals in two of those wins.
  • Monaco have a considerable supremacy over PSG when playing at home. They register 24 wins against 13 losses and four draws against Les Parisiens at Stade Louis II.


PSG have been a dominant team all season long, but at the domestic and European level. That is not going to change in this game, especially knowing they will play against a Monaco side that conceded four goals against RB Leipzig a few days ago.

Expect PSG to dominate once again. They should score over 3,5 goals rather easily considering Monaco’s defensive problems in recent weeks.

Verdict: PSG to score over 3,5 goals – yes

Best Odds: 13/4

Bookmaker: 888sport


Juan Pablo Aravena

A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.



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