Thursday, February 20, 2020

Prediction: AS Roma vs Lazio

Verdict: Lazio to win – yes

Best Odds: 27/20

Bookmaker: 888sport

AS Roma and Lazio will play a new edition of the Rome Derby, and both teams enter this contest in solid runs of form. Roma have won three of their last five league matches and currently sit in Champions League zone, while Lazio enter this contest in a sizzling 11-game winning streak. The Stadio Olimpico will host this contest, and it will kick-off at 17:00 GMT. 

AS Roma

Roma have been wildly inconsistent this season, but they seem to be on the rise since they are coming off a 3-1 away win at Genoa. That result snapped a two-game losing run, although they were on a two-game winning streak prior to that negative skid. Roma have taken advantage of the inconsistencies from most teams, however, and Roma have jumped all the way to fourth place in the standings over the likes of Atalanta and AC Milan. Roma would be qualifying for the Champions League if the season ended today, but they are seven points behind Lazio – who sit third – so they have a huge mountain to climb if they’re looking to gain a Top 3 finish this season. They need to improve at home to accomplish that feat, however, as Roma are coming off back-to-back losses at Stadio Olimpico ahead of this outing.

Team News

Nicolo Zaniolo (knee) and Davide Zappacosta (knee) have both been ruled out for this Rome derby.

Several other players are questionable here. The list includes Davide Santon (undisclosed), Justin Kluivert (undisclosed) and Javier Pastore (hip).

Lazio

Lazio have not only been the hottest team in the Serie A over the last few months, but they can make a case to be Europe’s hottest team not named Liverpool this term. The Serie A side is riding an 11-game winning streak following their 5-1 home win over Sampdoria at home the last time out, although they suffered a Cup loss against Napoli earlier this week. The Rome-based side has been excellent on both sides of the ball thus far, registering the league’s second-best attack (46 goals scored) and the competition’s third-best defensive unit (18 goals conceded). They are just two points behind Inter, who sit in second place of the standings, and they now a win here would boost their title chances as they have gone toe-to-toe with both Juve and Inter this term. Can they secure another statement win in their biggest derby of the season?

Team News

Danilo Cataldi has been ruled out with a calf injury.

Ricardo Kishna (knee) and Adam Marusic (thigh) have both been listed as questionable. Both will be game-time decisions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AS Roma have the edge when it comes to the all-time H2H Serie A record (W55, D59, L39).
  • Lazio, however, enter this game on a sizzling run of form. They have won each of their last 11 Serie A matches.
  • Five of Lazio’s last seven games in all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • The same thing has happened in three of Roma’s last four matches in all competitions.
  • Lazio have won just once in their last five H2H matches against Roma. Four of those games have produced over 1.5 total goals.

Conclusion

Lazio seem to be unstoppable at the moment. Roma have been playing quite well of late, but it seems no team can stop Simone Inzaghi’s men. That should be the case once again here, as Lazio should be able to win here to extend their winning run in the Serie A to 12 matches.

Verdict: Lazio to win – yes

Best Odds: 27/20

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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