Thursday, March 28, 2024

Prediction: Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla

Verdict: Under 2,5 total goals – yes

Best Odds: 8/15

Bookmaker: 888sport

Two teams that have been slightly underperforming in LaLiga during the current 2019-20 season will collide on Saturday, as Atletico Madrid will host Sevilla at Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid. Los Colchoneros and Los Nervionenses are both keen to establish themselves firmly in the Top 4 of the standings, but both sides have gotten similar results over the last few weeks and that could lead to a tight, nervy encounter. Kick-off for this match has been scheduled at 15:00 GMT.

Atletico Madrid

Diego Simeone’s men have not had a very good season. They began the year as one of few teams that had enough weapons to potentially threaten the likes of Real Madrid and FC Barcelona. However, their season has not gone according to the expectations. Poor managerial decisions, poor form from a few players and a clear lack of firepower upfront have the Madrid-based side in fifth place of the standings with 44 points. Most of that “poor form” can be attributed to the fact Atletico have drawn a league-high 11 times but, as a testament of their strong defensive work, only Real Madrid have lost fewer games than Atletico’s four. They have scored 29 goals this season – the lowest mark between the first nine teams in the standings – but have conceded just 19 times. They own the league’s second-best defence. Would that be enough to get the win here?

Team News

Thomas Partey won’t be available for Simeone in this game since he’s suspended.

Striker Dario Poveda has been ruled out due to injury. Winger Thomas Lemar has been listed as questionable due to a thigh injury.

Sevilla

Sevilla are coming off back-to-back wins in LaLiga, and they have scored three goals in both games – a 3-0 win at Getafe and a 3-2 win over Sevilla. They are W2, D2, L1 in their last five league outings, however, and have not lost in their last three games. On the surface, that’s a good run of form and should keep the fans hopeful. And if we dig deeper, then they should feel more than happy. Sevilla were considered a contender to reach the UEFA Champions League for the 2020-21 season and they are completing that goal thus far. The Andalucia based side are in third place of the standings with 46 points, and they have a W13, D7, L6 record all season long. They are, however, without a win in their last 10 visits to Wanda Metropolitano (D5, L5). Will they snap that run here?

Team News

Sevilla do not have injured players ahead of this match. However, they will have two players unavailable due to suspension.

Fernando and Oliver Torres will miss this contest due to yellow card accumulation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both sides have a W2, D2, L1 mark in their last five LaLiga matches.
  • During that span, Atletico Madrid are undefeated in their last four league matches. Sevilla, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last three.
  • Atletico Madrid have the second-best defensive record of the league with 19 goals conceded.
  • The last three league matches between these two sides have ended with under 2.5 goals. All three have finished with an exact 1-1 score.
  • Los Colchoneros have gone undefeated in their last six Liga matches against Sevilla. They are W3, D3 in that span.

Conclusion

The last few matches have ended with exactly two goals scored. Based on the Atletico are at home and looking at their impressive defensive record, this could be the case once again. Expect this game to finish with under 2.5 goals once again.

Verdict: Under 2,5 total goals – yes

Best Odds: 8/15

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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