Saturday, January 25, 2020

Prediction: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Juan Pablo Aravena in Free Soccer Predictions, Serie A 20 Oct 2018


Verdict: Both teams to score – yes

Best Odds: 13/20

Bookmaker: 888sport

It’s time for another Derby della Madoninna between Inter Milan and AC Milan, with the Nerazzurri playing as the “home” side this Sunday in Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. Both sides enter this game with different motivations, but knowing that bragging rights will be at stake following their 0-0 draw in their last meeting.

Inter Milan

There is no question that Inter Milan are trending in the right direction of late. The Giuseppe Meazza outfit currently sit in third place of the Serie A standings with 16 points out of eight matches (W5, D1, L2), but they have trending in the right direction if we look at their recent results. In fact, Luciano Spalletti’s men – who began the season slower than expected – could jump to second place in case they win, and Napoli lose their corresponding match. One of Inter’s strengths during the current campaign has been their defence since they have allowed just six goals in the season. That mark allows them to become the third-best defence in the competition, but they also own a strong attack: 12 goals scored, and a line led by Mauro Icardi and Ivan Perisic. Will that be enough to secure the win against their bitter rivals?

Team News

No important absences for Inter Milan ahead of this game.

However, three players are doubtful. These are Sime Vrsaljko (knee), Marcelo Brozovic (calf) and Danilo D’Ambrosio (knee).

AC Milan

Meanwhile, AC Milan have not been nearly as good as Inter Milan during the current campaign. Gennaro Gattuso’s men currently sit in 10th place in the Serie A standings thanks to 12 points out of seven games (W3, D3, L1), a mark that shows inconsistencies right off the bat. However, they might be in line to secure a massive leap after this weekend. They will certainly depend on what happens in other matches, but the Rossonero could move up to fourth place if several results go their way, with one less game played than their direct competitors. It is not a secret that Milan lack consistency on both ends of the pitch, but their games have been quite interesting: they currently have 15 goals scored (third-best mark in the league) but have also conceded 10 times (second-worst mark of any Top 10 team). Will Milan find consistency against their bitter rivals, in what would instantly become a statement win for the squad?

Team News

Ivan Strinic (heart problems) remains out for an undisclosed period of time.

Meanwhile, several other players are doubtful ahead of this derby. The list includes Mattia Caldara (groin), Andrea Conti (knee), Patrick Cutrone (ankle) and Alessio Romagnoli (groin).

Key Factors to Consider

  • The last time these two sides played, the game ended with a 0-0 draw.
  • These two sides have played 221 official matches across all competitions and Inter have won 78 of those games.
  • However, if we add unofficial matches into the mix, then the total increases to 292. Milan have the lead in that department, with 112 wins.
  • The largest victory in this Derby came in May 11, 2001, when AC Milan obliterated Inter 6-0 at Giuseppe Meazza.
  • Three of the past five official meetings between both sides have had both sides scoring. However, the last two meetings have combined for an exact total of just one goal.
  • Four of Inter’s eight games have had over 2.5 goals. The same outcome has happened in five of Milan’s seven games.


This could be a very open game considering both sides need the three points. Therefore, I believe this one will end with both teams scoring at least once.

Verdict: Both teams to score – yes

Best Odds: 13/20

Bookmaker: 888sport


Juan Pablo Aravena

A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.



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