Wednesday, June 19, 2019

Prediction: Inter Milan vs Juventus

Juan Pablo Aravena in Free Soccer Predictions, Serie A 27 Apr 2019

1,906 Views

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 4/6

Bookmaker: 888sport

Inter Milan are fighting for a UEFA Champions League berth ahead of the upcoming season. With only five matches left in the campaign, Inter know every single point counts. And unfortunately for them, they will endure a tough home match against Juventus, the reigning Serie A champions. This thrilling encounter will kick-off at 19:30 BST.

Inter Milan

Inter Milan might sit in third place of the Serie A standings with a decent chance of securing a UEFA Champions League berth for the upcoming season. However, they don’t enter this game in a particularly positive run of form. Inter Milan are winless in their last three Serie A home games (D2, L1) and what’s even more worrying is the fact they haven’t been able to score in the past two. But even if their attack does not work as expected, there’s a big chance that the defence will bail them out. Luciano Spalletti’s men own the best home defence in the Serie A, with only 0.5 goals conceded per game on average. Inter might not be solid at home, but their current form has been decent since they’re riding a four-game undefeated streak (W2, D2). Conceding just two goals over that span, Inter will need to show that same defensive ability considering they’ll take on the recently-crowned league champions.

Team News

Inter Milan won’t have Sime Vrsaljko. The Croatia international has been ruled out of this game due to a knee injury.

Another Croatian player, Marcelo Brozovic, will be a game-time decision. He’s been dealing with a thigh problem.

Juventus

Juventus might not have anything to play for in this match since they already secured the league title. However, The Old Lady have their pride at stake here. Their rivalry with Inter Milan has always been a huge one, and this match won’t be the exception. Part of their league title campaign has been their strength on the road, where they have conquered 13 wins in 16 matches (W13, D1, L2). Their record-breaking campaign has now give them eight league titles in a row, which constitutes a new record across Europe’s top-five leagues. To make things even better, Juventus also own both the best attack (30 goals scored) and the best defence (12 goals conceded) when playing on the road. They certainly enter this game as favourites, but playing against Inter is not an ordinary match. And they will do their best to get the three points against their bitter rivals.

Team News

Juventus will be quite depleted ahead of this game. Martin Caceres and Paulo Dybala are out due to muscular injuries, while Sami Khedira is out due to a knee problem.

Three other players are questionable ahead of this match. Giorgio Chiellini (calf), Mario Mandzukic (knee) and Matteo Perin (shoulder) are all questionable.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventus are undefeated in their last four H2H matches against Inter (W3, D1). Three of those games have had under 2.5 goals scored AND only one side finding the back of the net.
  • Inter Milan are winless in their past three home matches (D2, L1).
  • Scoring the first goal might be crucial. Inter are yet to lose after scoring the opening goal at home (W9, D1),
  • There’s been a red card in three of the last five meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams have scored in Juventus’ last five competitive games. But half of Inter’s home matches have ended 0-0 at the break.

Conclusion

The fact that the past meetings between these two sides haven’t had many goals could be crucial here. I expect this match to end with under 2.5 goals in total.

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 4/6

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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