Thursday, July 18, 2019

Prediction: Juventus vs AC Milan

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 6/5

Bookmaker: 888sport

One of the most important matches in the Serie A – both due to history and the current state of both clubs – will take place this Saturday when Juventus take on AC Milan. The Old Lady keep marching towards a new league title, while the Rossoneri are in a tight race to earn a Champions League berth for the upcoming season. The kick-off will be at 17:o0 BST.

Juventus

There’s no question La Vecchia Signora have been the top of the class in Italy’s top-flight once again. Even though they suffered a disappointing defeat away at Genoa (0-2) two matches ago, Max Allegri’s men remain unstoppable and it seems no one will stop them on their quest towards clinching their 35th league title. They sit at the top of the standings with 81 points and owning an 18-point lead over second-placed Napoli with eight matches left. Essentially, this means Juventus can practically – yet not officially – win the league title this weekend with a win here, and a Napoli defeat in their respective match. And while Milan have been one of the hottest teams in the Serie A during 2019, there’s no question Juventus fans should feel confident entering this match. They remain undefeated at home during the current term (W13, D2) and right now, there’s no side that can match with them.

Team News

Juan Guillermo Cuadrado has been ruled out due to a knee injury.

Several other players are doubtful. The list includes Cristiano Ronaldo, Andrea Barzagli, Douglas Costa, Sami Khedira and Leonardo Spinazzola.

AC Milan

As mentioned above, Milan have been one of the hottest teams in the Serie A during the current term. However, their recent results do not back that up. Their five-game form reads W2, D1, L2, and they’re currently riding a three-game winless run although they’re coming off a draw in their previous league outing (1-1 against Udinese). The Rossoneri side have no chance to win the title, but their main focus is to clinch a Champions League spot ahead of the 2019-20 season. Right now, Milan sit in fourth place of the standings with 52 points. They’re four points behind the third-placed Inter Milan, but only have a one-point lead over the fifth-placed Atalanta. Winning here is key to hold that edge, but they’re likely to battle until the final week of the season for that important Champions League berth. For what is worth, their current away record this season reads W5, D6, L3, with only one loss in their previous five road contests (W3, D1, L1).

Team News

Giacomo Bonaventura will miss this game due to a knee problems.

Gennaro Gattuso will also have several players doubtful, such as Andrea Conti, Franck Kessie and Lucas Paquetá.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventus have not conceded goals in each of their last three wins in all competitions.
  • The Old Lady also hold the edge on the H2H record. They’ve won their last five meetings here in the Serie A.
  • Milan have been strong on the road, though. They’ve lost just once in their last nine trips (W4, D4, L1).
  • Two of Milan’s last three Serie A matches saw an opening goal within the first five minutes.
  • Roughness to be expected? Four of the last seven competitive matches between these two sides have featured one red card.

Conclusion

These two sides will do everything they can to secure the three points. And given the needs on both ends, I’d say both teams need to play with an attacking approach. We can expect an open game here with over 2.5 goals scored in total.

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 6/5

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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