Monday, November 18, 2019

Prediction: Leicester City vs Wolverhampton

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 7/10

Bookmaker: 888sport

The 2019/20 Premier League season began this weekend and one of Sunday’s fixture will be an evenly contested matchup betweeen Leicester City and Wolverhampton. The Foxes have the edge of playing at home, but the Wolves were one of the best sides in the Premier League season, and will undoubtedly aim to begin the campaign with a positive result on the road. Kick-off for this match at King Power Stadium is slated at 14:00 hrs BST.

Leicester City

The King Power Stadium outfit lost star centre-back Harry Maguire this summer, but Leicester still look well-equipped to aim at a top-half finish this season. They are not expected to contend for the league title or even a European spot, but they should pose a threat to most teams, especially if they play at home where they recorded a W8, D3, L8 mark last term. The Foxes ended their “home” season on a strong note last term as they lost just once in their last five (W3, D1, L1). They should have a lot of confidence entering this game after finishing preseason undefeated (W5, D1) and they also scored multiple goals in five of those six outings. They have also lost just two of their last 15 matches in all competitions (including friendlies: W10, D3, L2). Can they keep that impressive run of results in their season opener in front of their fans?

Team News

The Foxes are at full strength ahead of this season opener.

Wolverhampton

On the other hand, Wolverhampton already began their competitive season since they are playing in the UEFA Europa League Qualifiers but they have been extremely successful with three wins in equal number of matches, 10 goals scored and only one conceded. Leicester clearly represent a steep upgrade in terms of quality compared to their Europa League opponents (Crusaders and Pyunik Yerevan), but they should not have problems to take them here. The Wolves were undefeated in two of three H2H meetings last season (W1, D1, L1) but did not lose in each of the past two. Can they extend that solid run of form to begin the season on a positive note? Or will they stumble in the season opener, perhaps knowing they have lofty expectations to achieve after an impressive 2018-19 campaign?

Team News

The Wolves won’t have Morgan Gibbs-White available for this game after he picked up a knock.

The rest of the squad, however, is fit and available.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leicester City have not lost in their last three matches against Wolves at King Power Stadium (W2, D1).
  • The Foxes were undefeated during preseason this summer (W5, D1). Five of those games featured over 2.5 goals.
  • Meanwhile, the Wolves have scored at least two goals in their three competitive games this season. They have netted exactly four in the last two.
  • Across all competitions and including friendlies, Wolverhampton have lost just once in their last 10 games (W8, D1, L1).
  • Seven of Wolves’ last 10 games have seen just one side scoring. The same thing has happened in just one of Leicester’s last five matches.

Conclusion

If we count Leicester’s and Wolves’ last five Premier League matches, we can see a clear theme. There has been under 2.5 total goals in six of those 10 games.

Expect that tendency to continue here.

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 7/10

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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