Friday, August 7, 2020

Prediction: Real Madrid vs Getafe

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals – yes

Best Odds: 2/5

Bookmaker: 888sport

Real Madrid sit all alone at the top of the Liga standings and depend solely on themselves if they want to win the 2019-20 Liga title. They will try to take another step towards glory Thursday, when they take on Getafe, one of their local rivals and a team that also have a lot to play for. This match will kick off on July 2nd at 21:00 GMT.

Real Madrid

Los Merengues are only a few games away from winning the Liga title and depend solely on themselves to reach that goal. Following Barcelona’s 2-2 draw against Atletico Madrid on Tuesday, now Zinedine Zidane’s men are one point above their heated rivals while also holding one game in hand. To make things even better for the Madrid-based squad, who will play this game in their alternative venue once again, they have won each of their last five contests since the league restarted in June. That W5 record has been boosted by Madrid’s defensive ability, as their last two games featured under 2.5 goals and two of those wins came by just a one-goal margin. Real Madrid have also gone undefeated in their last 12 competitive matches against Getafe and seem poised to take another step towards the title here.

Team News

Luka Jovic (calf), Lucas Vazquez (leg) and Reinier (leg) have all been ruled out for this match.

Nacho (stomach disorder) is questionable. However, he wouldn’t start even if he was healthy.

Getafe

Getafe were one of the biggest surprises in La Liga by the time the season got suspended in March due to the Coronavirus pandemic. However, Los Azulones were not able to maintain that pace and have won just one of their last five league fixtures (W1, D3, L1). They are showing a good form ahead of this matchup, however, as Getafe are undefeated in their last four games. Is that enough to get a good result against a red-hot team such as Real Madrid? The Madrid-based side won’t have to travel much for this game, and they can find confidence in their away record in 2019/20. Getafe currently rank as the league’s sixth-best away team in LaLiga, posting a W6, D4, L5 mark away from home. They have won just one of their last four on the road, though, going W1, D1, L2 during that span.

Team News

Getafe are at full strength ahead of this game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid have gone undefeated in their last 12 competitive matches against Getafe, winning 11 of those contests.
  • Eleven of the last 13 H2H meetings between these two sides have produced three or more total goals.
  • Each of the last three games between both sides witnessed just one side (or none) scoring. This means Getafe have not scored in their last three meetings against Los Merengues.
  • Getafe are undefeated in their last four league matches, although they have won just one of those contests (W1, D3).
  • Real Madrid have scored two or more goals in each of their last four home wins.

Conclusion

Real Madrid are undoubtedly the better side here, and even though their last two games have featured under 2.5 goals, they are bound to bounce back at some point.

They shouldn’t have problems to defeat Getafe in a game that could easily end with over 2.5 goals. That has been the case in 11 of their last 13 H2H meetings.

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals – yes

Best Odds: 2/5

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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