Sunday, April 28, 2024

Prediction: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Verdict: Under 2,5 goals – yes

Best Odds: 6/5

Bookmaker: 888sport

Real Madrid and Sevilla both enter this matchup sitting in the Top 4, meaning both sides would qualify for a UEFA Champions League berth if the season ended today. But Los Merengues will aim to take another step towards the top of the standings, while Sevilla will look to shorten the game with the first place. Kick-off for this thrilling match has been set at 15:00 GMT.

Real Madrid

Los Merengues are enjoying a great season thus far, and it seems they haven’t had the recognition they deserve for what they have done to date. Zinedine Zidane’s men are 19 games into the league season and sit at the top of the standings alongside Barcelona with 40 points. The only reason they sit second lies on the goal differential – they own a +24 record while Barca own a +26 mark. But Los Merengues have lost just one game all season long, and they enter this matchup while riding a 16-game undefeated streak in all competitions and fresh off a Super Cup title earlier this month. Los Blancos also own the league’s best defensive record with only 12 goals conceded, and they are coming off a 3-0 away win over Getafe the last time out. They will aim to extend their positive run with another huge win here.

Team News

Real Madrid won’t have three players ahead of this contest. Star summer signing Eden Hazard stands out with an ankle injury.

Federico Valverde has also been ruled out through suspension. And winger Marco Asensio remains out for the entire season while rehabbing from an ACL injury.

Sevilla

Undoubtedly, Sevilla have been one of the most surprising teams in the league this season. Los Nervionenses were expected to challenge for a UEFA Europa League berth this season, but they have stunned everyone with their performances and sit in fourth place of the standings with 35 points. Sevilla are only five points away from the top spot as well, meaning a win here could pushed them quite close towards first place even if they sit below both Madrid and Barcelona based on quality. Sevilla enter this game on a two-game undefeated streak in the league (W1, D1) and they have dropped just one match during their last five contests (W2, D2, L1). Plus, they have dropped just two games on the road (W6, D2, L2) and rank as the league’s best side away from home. Do they have what it takes to pull the upset against Los Merengues?

Team News

Sevilla could be quite close to full strength entering this game. Their lone confirmed absentee here will be Lucas Ocampos, as he is suspended due to yellow card accumulation.

Talented playmaker Joan Jordan has been listed as questionable due to a head injury. He will be a game-time decision for the coaching staff.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid enter this game on a 16-game undefeated run in all competitions (W11, D5).
  • Los Merengues have also won their last 10 league matches at home against Sevilla.
  • Sevilla have kept three straight clean sheets when playing away from home.
  • Four of the last five matches between these two sides have featured over 2.5 goals scored.
  • Five of the last six H2H Liga matches here have seen the first goal arrived by the 15th minute.

Conclusion

Sevilla and Real Madrid will both go all out to secure the win here. While Los Blancos enter on a better run of form, Sevilla can’t be taken for granted when playing away from home. Therefore, we might be in for a tight encounter. One with under 2.5 goals in total.

Verdict: Under 2,5 goals – yes

Best Odds: 6/5

Bookmaker: 888sport

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Juan Pablo Aravena


A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.

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