Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Prediction: Tottenham vs Burnley

Verdict: Over 2,5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 4/7

Bookmaker: 888sport

Tottenham Hotspur are coming off a disappointing 2-1 loss at Manchester United the last time out, but that was the team’s first defeat since the arrival of Jose Mourinho to North London. Now the Spurs are looking for a bounce-back performance at home against Burnley, a team that’s coming off five defeats in their last five Premier League matches. This match will kick-off Saturday at 15:00 GMT.


The Spurs suffered their first defeat since Jose Mourinho’s arrival, but it’s not a secret that they have been a very entertaining team since “The Special One” took over – in his first four games, they have posted a W3, L1 record while those games have averaged 4.75 total goals per contest. Tottenham currently sit in eighth place of the Premier League standings with 20 points (W5, D5, L5) although Wednesday’s loss at Manchester United was their first one in their last five league outings (W2, D2, L1). One of their biggest problems this season thus far has been their defence. The London-based club has already conceded 23 goals – joint-highest mark among teams in the top half of the league standings. The loss of starting goalkeeper Hugo Lloris complicates things even further, so Tottenham has relied on their attack to get positive. Thankfully for them, the Spurs average 1.67 goals per Premier League game thus far and own the EPL’s fifth-best attack.

Team News

The Spurs have four confirmed absences ahead of this match.

Hugo Lloris remains out due to a shoulder injury. Erik Lamela (thigh), Ben Davies (ankle) and Michael Vorm (calf) have all been ruled out as well.


Burnley do not enter this game on a good run of form, as they are coming off a huge 4-1 home defeat against Manchester City the last time out. That result extended Burnley’s misfortunes since they have lost five of their last seven Premier League matches (W2, L5). They tend to lose emphatically every time they do it, conceding nine goals in their last three defeats and scoring just once over that span. To make things even more complicated for The Clarets, they own a W1, D3, L3 mark away from home although they are coming off a win the last time they played on the road. But with just one win over that span, there’s no question they should be listed as underdogs ahead of this match. Especially considering Tottenham’s powerful attack and their solid run of form over the last few weeks.

Team News

Burnley do not have any confirmed absentees for this game. However, up to five players have been deemed as questionable.

Phil Bardsley (knock), Johann Gudmundsson (thigh), Kevin Long (hip), Charlie Taylor (thigh) and Ashley Westwood (groin) will all be game-time decisions for the coaching staff.

Key Factors to Consider

  • There have been over 2.5 match goals in 73.33 % of Tottenham’s Premier League matches this season.
  • The same thing has happened in four of Burnley’s last five Premier League matches. Four of those also had only one team scoring.
  • We could also expect goals at both ends. Tottenham have kept just one clean sheet at home this season.
  • We might even have some late drama! Burnley have scored one third of their Premier League goals from the 75th minute onwards.
  • Tottenham have lost just once in their last five meetings against Burnley (W3, D1, L1). That loss come in the most recent H2H meeting, though.


Tottenham’s first four games under Jose Mourinho’s tutelage have witnessed three or more goals scored. The same thing has happened in four of Burnley’s last five Premier League outings.

Expect that tendency to continue for one more week.

Verdict: Over 2,5 goals scored – yes

Best Odds: 4/7

Bookmaker: 888sport


Juan Pablo Aravena

A freelance writer and sports analyst with almost five years of experience in the industry before joining SoccerNews, Juan Pablo Aravena is based in Chile and currently contributes to several publications and websites including SoccerNews, 12up, and Sports From The Basement, while also working as a fantasy beat writer for RotoWire, as a database editor for EA Sports, and as a football analyst for SmartOdds and InsideFutbol. His areas of focus are Serie A, Bundesliga, Premier League, LaLiga, and Ligue 1, but he has also written about MLS and South American football in the past.



Leave a Reply

Notify of
Live Scores


Betting Guide Advertisement


Become a Writer
More More